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#1409 | ||
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"Kieren"
Jul 2011
In My Own Galaxy!
100111101011102 Posts |
Quote:
EDIT: from the Wilkes artcile- Quote:
Last fiddled with by kladner on 2017-11-11 at 17:00 |
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#1410 | |
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"Kieren"
Jul 2011
In My Own Galaxy!
2·3·1,693 Posts |
From the Mantle Plume article I wandered into:
Quote:
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#1411 | |
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∂2ω=0
Sep 2002
República de California
19·613 Posts |
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#1412 |
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∂2ω=0
Sep 2002
República de California
19·613 Posts |
Bitcoin Could Cost Us Our Clean-Energy Future | naked capitalism
I suppose the one silver lining to the above is that the BTC tulip-mania will be self-curing - and if major global commodities exchanges rushing to make markets in BTC-futures is any indicator, said cure will not be long in coming - because when the inevitable** price crash comes, there's likely gonna be an unprecedented worldwide sale on compute hardware. ** Said inevitability follows from simple arithmetic ... the crazy run-up of the past year, and especially the past month or so, is a direct result of a flood of late buy-at-any-price money into the market. Thus, as with the late great housing bubble (specifically the v1.0 one, to distinguish from the current global all-risk-assets bubble blown by the world's central banks flooding the globe with cheap money for the purpose of 'recovering' from the crash of the previous bubble via blowing another, even bigger, one), you have a relatively tiny % of a given speculative vehicle being bought at a crazy price by True Believers in the laws-of-economics-don't-apply-to-this-thing-ness of said vehicle, thus conferring the latest-trade-price to the entire asset base. The problem? The resulting total-asset market valuation is far less than the total amount of money invested in the Ponzi scheme by the punters. Thus, the only thing keeping the mania going is the punters' confidence that there is only one direction for the price to go, and that is up, exponentially up in the case of recent action in BTC. The result is a huge imbalance in buying versus selling pressure. As soon as enough traders try to realize their miraculous paper trading gains, the huge-dance-hall-with-a-very-tiny-door-and-someone-just-yelled-fire panic-selling dynamic kicks in. The wilder the run-up in price, the greater the ratio of dance-hall/exit-door size becomes. But is certainly is morbidly fascinating to watch ... a modern tulipmania amplified by the reach of the internet and the utterly vaporous nature of the underlying 'commodity'. The wasted energy production, alas, is all too real. |
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#1413 |
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Basketry That Evening!
"Bunslow the Bold"
Jun 2011
40<A<43 -89<O<-88
11100001101012 Posts |
I mean back at $8K per BTC I thought "this is obviously a bubble that's gonna crash", yet here we are. I haven't changed my underlying opinion, but still, the sheer (relative) size of this particular bubble (13x growth in <8 months) is astonishing even compared to other recent bubbles in the financial markets (meaning within the last decade).
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#1414 |
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"Mark"
Apr 2003
Between here and the
22×7×227 Posts |
With respect to BTC, will some government decide to bail out the owners of the bitcoins if that market crashes?
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#1415 |
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"Kieren"
Jul 2011
In My Own Galaxy!
100111101011102 Posts |
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#1416 |
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"Mike"
Aug 2002
5·17·97 Posts |
Is it possible the BC bubble is being sustained by people who are laundering money, and that they are okay with "losing" some money?
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#1417 | ||
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Feb 2017
Nowhere
10010010000102 Posts |
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#1418 | |
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"Victor de Hollander"
Aug 2011
the Netherlands
23·3·72 Posts |
Quote:
I think this quote (Keynes) summarizes the current tulip mania: "The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent." |
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#1419 |
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∂2ω=0
Sep 2002
República de California
19×613 Posts |
A 94-Million-Year-Old Warning About the Ocean’s Future - The Atlantic
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