Manic of a panic is geopolitical

[kriesel]

A 13 day old baby in Britain dies, attributed to COVID19. No word on other issues at this time. https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-...shire-53097646

[kriesel]

Long read about pandemic forecasting, reinsurance, and dancing barrelmakers https://www.wired.com/story/nathan-w...emic-insurance

[ewmayer]

South Korea reports 46 new COVID-19 cases as it tackles ‘second wave’ | Channel News Asia

I've been tracking the daily case counts here in Marin county using the Weather Underground zip-code-level forecast page, and from yesterday to today we had our by-far-biggest daily case-count jump, from 901 to 1029, more than double the new cases reported for all of South Korea in the above screaming headline.

Here is the county re-opening timeline ... make of that what you will. My town has been barricading a 2-block-long restaurant-heavy section of the main drag to make it a pedestrian-only zone for the past 3 weekends. That allows restaurants to spread tables apart outside along the street, effectively multiplying their normal patio area. As long as people social-distance and have masks at the ready (earloops over ears, mask tucked under chin, ready to be pulled up over mouth&nose at any time) it's probably OK, but the scene the last few Fri/Sat evenings has more often resembled a pre-Covid-19 street party. Not good.

[wanwyk2]

Portugal is expected to be the most dangerous country in Europe after Italy because of the second wave of the pandemic. Government is taking more strict measures lately however I don't expect it to decrease the numbers since the most of the positive cases have been detected in the poorer neigborhoods and communities. Locals prefer to open their shops rather than being overcome with the devastating economic consequences.

These economic factors seem to be catastrophic as you examine the Lisbon real estate market which has been the backbone of Portuguese economy. It may come to a point of no return with the decrease of the foreign investors and number of tourist entering the country. As an IT expat living in Portugal for over 10 years I'm also leaving the country as soon as possible.

[pinhodecarlos]

Originally Posted by wanwyk2

Portugal is expected to be the most dangerous country in Europe after Italy because of the second wave of the pandemic. Government is taking more strict measures lately however I don't expect it to decrease the numbers since the most of the positive cases have been detected in the poorer neigborhoods and communities. Locals prefer to open their shops rather than being overcome with the devastating economic consequences.

These economic factors seem to be catastrophic as you examine the Lisbon real estate market which has been the backbone of Portuguese economy. It may come to a point of no return with the decrease of the foreign investors and number of tourist entering the country. As an IT expat living in Portugal for over 10 years I'm also leaving the country as soon as possible.

Where are you native from? Looking at stats there are more dangerous places than Portugal, like UK for example, but we are pondering not going back to homeland for Christmas mainly for health and safety of our parents and grandparents, something the youth are not understanding at the moment there.

[xilman]

Originally Posted by wanwyk2

Portugal is expected to be the most dangerous country in Europe after Italy because of the second wave of the pandemic.

Originally Posted by pinhodecarlos

Where are you native from? Looking at stats there are more dangerous places than Portugal, like UK for example, but we are pondering not going back to homeland for Christmas mainly for health and safety of our parents and grandparents, something the youth are not understanding at the moment there.

Maybe you are both correct. The UK is the more dangerous now but Portugal could well become so if a second wave breaks out in the autumn.

[pinhodecarlos]

Typical from Portuguese, or you mess up in the beginning or at the end, we always mess up.

[kriesel]

Data. Lots of data. And perspective https://medium.com/analyticaper/covi...s-3a08e42ee36f

[masser]

Originally Posted by kriesel

Data. Lots of data. And perspective https://medium.com/analyticaper/covi...s-3a08e42ee36f

Lots of crap is still crap.

[xilman]

Originally Posted by masser

Lots of crap is still crap.

Most diamonds are found in vast amounts of crap. knowing how to find them is key.

[masser]

Originally Posted by xilman

Most diamonds are found in vast amounts of crap. knowing how to find them is key.

May your explorations be unsullied.