Newer milestone thread

[Madpoo]

Originally Posted by Madpoo

Actually I've done my own test of that 54M exponent, but not the two 55M exponents. I have a better feeling about those 2 finishing so I wasn't too concerned (impatient of course, but not concerned that they'd expire first)

FYI, those 2 exponents in the 54M range that I checked in (54674791, 54759797)... they're still not done. They would have expired a few days ago, but now at least the original user can keep on working on them and maybe they'll manage to finish them in another 4-5 years as a double-check, before they get assigned to someone else for that purpose.

Exponent M54357769 is still being sporadic. No check-ins since a few days ago (May 25) so it's still at 99.4%. It'll expire in about 15-16 days. I'm still hopeful this person will sneak in just under the wire but it's definitely a squeaker already. Kind of amazing that it's taken this person 650 days so far to get up to 99.4%, and may or may not finish before it expires.

Worst case, I'll check my result in just before expiration, and if they miss it by just a day or two, theirs will be a double-check.

[cuBerBruce]

Originally Posted by Madpoo

Exponent M54357769 is still being sporadic. No check-ins since a few days ago (May 25) so it's still at 99.4%. It'll expire in about 15-16 days. I'm still hopeful this person will sneak in just under the wire but it's definitely a squeaker already. Kind of amazing that it's taken this person 650 days so far to get up to 99.4%, and may or may not finish before it expires.

Now up to 99.8%. Just two "ticks" to go!

[petrw1]

Countdown to testing all exponents below M(57885161) once: 459
Countdown to first time checking all exponents below 58M: 459 (Estimated completion : 2015-10-22)

This suggests to me there are none between 57885161 and 58M?

[science_man_88]

Originally Posted by petrw1

Countdown to testing all exponents below M(57885161) once: 459
Countdown to first time checking all exponents below 58M: 459 (Estimated completion : 2015-10-22)

This suggests to me there are none between 57885161 and 58M?

I believe it would suggest that all potential candidates between the two of which there are 6378 at very most have been checked at least once. edit: when you consider p%4==3 and isprime(2*p+1), 229 get eliminated with a non trivial factor for example.

[Madpoo]

Originally Posted by petrw1

Countdown to testing all exponents below M(57885161) once: 459
Countdown to first time checking all exponents below 58M: 459 (Estimated completion : 2015-10-22)

This suggests to me there are none between 57885161 and 58M?

That's correct, all exponents between 57,885,161 and 58M have already been checked at least once. (EDIT: or factored, as suggested)

[Madpoo]

Originally Posted by cuBerBruce

Now up to 99.8%. Just two "ticks" to go!

I still have my fingers crossed. Weird to think this person will take nearly 660 days to finish this one test.

Here are my predictions on these final 4 under 57M:

exponent	Real Eta
54357769	2015-06-09 00:54
55027163	2015-07-18 07:53
55079077	2015-07-22 21:08
56931947	2015-06-13 13:57

I'm starting to have doubts about those two in the 55M range. They seem to have slowed down lately, and although I'm projecting 44 and 49 days left for them, they're at risk of expiring soon... they're 572 days old right now and as an example, if they stopped progressing entirely (unlikely), they'd expire in 53 and 50 days respectively. So even if they do progress a bit, they'd be struggling to keep up with the looming expiration deadline. They're averaging under 0.3 % per day (0.28% and 0.27%). They'd need to do a little better just to keep ahead of the game, like 0.3% per day.

That 56M exponent is a recent re-assignment when the original expired, so it'll have no problem finishing soon.

[rudy235]

Have you tested any of these 4 numbers?

Originally Posted by Madpoo

I still have my fingers crossed. Weird to think this person will take nearly 660 days to finish this one test.




Here are my predictions on these final 4 under 57M:

exponent	Real Eta
54357769	2015-06-09 00:54
55027163	2015-07-18 07:53
55079077	2015-07-22 21:08
56931947	2015-06-13 13:57

I'm starting to have doubts about those two in the 55M range. They seem to have slowed down lately, and although I'm projecting 44 and 49 days left for them, they're at risk of expiring soon... they're 572 days old right now and as an example, if they stopped progressing entirely (unlikely), they'd expire in 53 and 50 days respectively. So even if they do progress a bit, they'd be struggling to keep up with the looming expiration deadline. They're averaging under 0.3 % per day (0.28% and 0.27%). They'd need to do a little better just to keep ahead of the game, like 0.3% per day.

That 56M exponent is a recent re-assignment when the original expired, so it'll have no problem finishing soon.

[cuBerBruce]

M54357769 was finally finished by the person assigned to it after 654.8 days.

It's time for Madpoo to report his double-check of it.

Originally Posted by rudy235

Have you tested any of these 4 numbers?

Madpoo has previously said he has done M54357769 without officially reporting the result, but I believe he denied working on the two in the 55M range. I think these two 55M have a decent chance of being finished by the assignee before expiring. Of course, there is every indication the fourth one will be finished soon by the current assignee.

[retina]

The milestones report page is now out of date also.

[rudy235]

So now all exponents bellow (or equal) to 55'000,000 have been tested at least once.

[Madpoo]

Originally Posted by cuBerBruce

M54357769 was finally finished by the person assigned to it after 654.8 days.

It's time for Madpoo to report his double-check of it.

Madpoo has previously said he has done M54357769 without officially reporting the result, but I believe he denied working on the two in the 55M range. I think these two 55M have a decent chance of being finished by the assignee before expiring. Of course, there is every indication the fourth one will be finished soon by the current assignee.

Yup, I just got online and saw that one *finally* finished. Just checked in my result which thankfully matched. It would have been a shame if it didn't after all the time that user put into it.

I haven't tested those 55M exponents, but if it's getting closer to the wire on those and they're at risk of expiring anyway, I may run them and have the results standing by.

I also just updated the milestones page with the June 6 date for everything under 55M.