Predict M48...

[10metreh]

Well, we don't know "M47" is prime, but we have strong evidence for it, so it's time to have a guess at M48. My guess: about 59M, January 2011.

(Mods: Feel free to delete this thread if "M47" turns out not to be prime.)

[XYYXF]

88M, Nov 2011.

[Primeinator]

In the neighborhood of 47.3M.

[Uncwilly]

332,192,831 Feb 12, 2011

[davieddy]

Originally Posted by Uncwilly

332,192,831 Feb 12, 2011

Thought you had already posted a poll on this topic.
My vote was sometime after 2025 (Assuming us or our progeny
ever live to see it)

[Primeinator]

332,192,831 Feb 12, 2011

Not a very conservative guess

[Uncwilly]

Originally Posted by davieddy

Thought you had already posted a poll on this topic.

Not for M48.

[davieddy]

Originally Posted by Uncwilly

Not for M48.

I was referring to a 100M digit prime.
(I voted for after 2025)

Re M48, the "expected" exponent is ~60,000,000
On the old primenet I used to check on the number of LL tests
completed per hour. It was ~10 and falling.
Can someone tip me on the simplest way of monitoring this
on the new version?

David

[ATH]

49.9M Mar 2010

[Uncwilly]

Originally Posted by davieddy

On the old primenet I used to check on the number of LL tests completed per hour.
...
Can someone tip me on the simplest way of monitoring this
on the new version?

I would say, start with this page: http://v5www.mersenne.org/report_recent_cleared/
Then do your sums.

[davieddy]

Originally Posted by Uncwilly

I would say, start with this page: http://v5www.mersenne.org/report_recent_cleared/
Then do your sums.

Well if that's the simplest way I'll give up.
Off for some beer before the shop shuts.