3 years trend - Page 4

Uncwilly · 2010-10-29, 14:58

Quote:

Originally Posted by ATH

I took all those reports posted in this thread and took the total "Factored", "Two LL", "One LL" and "Status Unknown" for each report and made an Excel spreadsheet.

For the last 2 dates I only took average speed from last to current report, because my last 2 data points is 2years and 3months apart from July 20th 2008 to Oct 20th 2010, so last data point is the average speed since v5 server came online:

Why did you skip the data posted above for 2009?

ATH · 2010-10-29, 15:07

Ah yes I forgot that one, I was focussing on all the reports people linked in zip-files. I'll update the graph later, but I'll wait a bit and see if anyone has more classic reports from the v5 server 2008-2010.

lycorn · 2010-10-29, 16:57

FInd 3 more (1 from 2008, 2 from 2010).
Note: they will be posted in three consecutive messages, due to size limit for the attachments

I have a great lot of status pages (~140) from the v4 server, from feb2002 until its retirement from service, distributed more or less evenly over the years. If someone is interested, gimme a shout, and provide an email address.

lycorn · 2010-10-29, 16:58

Second.

lycorn · 2010-10-29, 17:00

And third.

ATH · 2010-10-29, 17:58

Thank you. Files updated with those 3 plus the Oct 25th 2009 stats:
GIMPS progress.jpg
GIMPS speed per day.jpg
GIMPS.zip

I kept using the average speed between next and previous stats except of course the very last one is average speed since last update. Remember this is the daily change of the number of exponents regardless of their sizes, so this is not proportional to the average TFLOP/s.

Uncwilly · 2010-10-29, 18:10

Quote:

Originally Posted by lycorn

I have a great lot of status pages (~140) from the v4 server, from feb2002 until its retirement from service, distributed more or less evenly over the years. If someone is interested, gimme a shout, and provide an email address.

Can you give just the html files (most zip programs can do that, recurse and have a specific file type)? I will pm you an address.

Uncwilly · 2010-11-19, 23:25

Quote:

Originally Posted by ATH

I'll update the graph later, but I'll wait a bit and see if anyone has more classic reports from the v5 server 2008-2010.

Quote:

Originally Posted by lycorn

I have a great lot of status pages (~140) from the v4 server, from feb2002 until its retirement from service, distributed more or less evenly over the years. If someone is interested, gimme a shout, and provide an email address.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Uncwilly

Can you give just the html files (most zip programs can do that, recurse and have a specific file type)? I will pm you an address.

I have the files from lycorn. I have taken all of the status files from all of the sources, culled most of the dupes (still looking out for some, some have different dates in the files vs. the data), named them all in a uniform format (GIMPS_Status_yyyy-mm-dd.htm) based upon the data date. The .jpg's I will get around to. I am compiling the data into a spreadsheet. The 79.3 summaries and those for the 20.4 will be included and the checked and double checked levels. I currently am doing the compiling by hand (cut and paste). If there is a wonk out there that wants to write a prog to rip the data to a csv, that would be nice.

Some one should set up a cron job to grab a classic status (and the milestones page) every week or two.

When I am done compiling, I will post up the ss and the cleaned up files.

Uncwilly · 2011-06-24, 03:46

Here is a compiled list of all the status updates posted here, plus others since.

Does anyone want the original files?

petrw1 · 2011-10-25, 23:30

Code:

Year	Pr.#	Factored	Two LL	One LL	Unknown		Expect	P-90 Yrs	Difference	TwoLL Min	OneLL Min
1999	38	1,622,684	102,184	95,493	2,810,514	6.08	43,144,037			
2000	38	2,455,307	137,115	120,011	1,918,442	5.28	28,614,462	14,529,575		
2001	38	2,549,750	172,986	135,744	1,772,395	4.78	27,511,914	 1,102,548		
2002	39	2,604,045	204,911	174,748	1,647,170	4.2	26,665,844	   846,070		
2003	39	2,657,598	246,206	213,181	1,513,889	3.66	25,907,845	   757,999		
2004	41	2,710,167	308,062	262,905	1,349,738	3.07	24,737,484	 1,170,361		
2005	42	2,738,224	353,153	314,720	1,224,774	2.64	24,026,650	   710,834	11,145,000	16,693,000
2006	43	2,768,958	412,842	348,590	1,100,479	2.27	23,131,200	   895,450	14,001,400	18,000,900
2007	44	2,791,134	460,066	386,008	  993,661	1.97	22,213,533	   917,667	15,639,000	18,816,700
2008	46	2,819,097	489,818	426,544	  895,410	1.747	21,139,962	 1,073,571	17,001,269	22,512,443
2009	47	2,855,510	525,350	460,953	  789,056	1.528	19,594,719	 1,545,243	18,455,461	27,506,209
2010	47	2,883,917	566,903	484,395	  695,654	1.342	18,003,218	 1,591,501	21,065,063	31,494,937
2011	47	2,903,190	619,723	492,951	  615,005	1.173	16,606,994	 1,396,224	22,545,883	38,103,407

Good progress on 'OneLL Min.'
Less progress on 'TwoLL Min.'

First drop in P90 difference in 3 years. Could it be:
- More moving from LL/DC to TF with their new GPUs?
- More moving to 10Million Digits?
- Less overall interest with no new primes in over 2 years?

Barring a good jump (i.e GPU LL, or big hardware advancement) it is probably more than 10 more years to finish this range at the current, somewhat linear rate.
And over that time there is only about 1 more prime expected.....hmmmm I hope interest keeps up in spite of this.

Dubslow · 2011-10-26, 02:12

You mean up to 79.3M or whatever it was?
Also, as you can see here, the Two LL Min is set to jump 1.5M within the next month or so.

Edit: Any chance to get that as a CSV so we can load it into a spreadsheet?

2010-10-29, 17:58	#39
ATH Einyen Dec 2003 Denmark C57₁₆ Posts	Thank you. Files updated with those 3 plus the Oct 25th 2009 stats: GIMPS progress.jpg GIMPS speed per day.jpg GIMPS.zip I kept using the average speed between next and previous stats except of course the very last one is average speed since last update. Remember this is the daily change of the number of exponents regardless of their sizes, so this is not proportional to the average TFLOP/s. Last fiddled with by ATH on 2010-10-29 at 18:04

2011-10-26, 02:12	#44
Dubslow Basketry That Evening! "Bunslow the Bold" Jun 2011 40<A<43 -89<O<-88 3×29×83 Posts	You mean up to 79.3M or whatever it was? Also, as you can see here, the Two LL Min is set to jump 1.5M within the next month or so. Edit: Any chance to get that as a CSV so we can load it into a spreadsheet? Last fiddled with by Dubslow on 2011-10-26 at 02:31

Similar Threads
Thread	Thread Starter	Forum	Replies	Last Post
PSP: 10 years old!	Citrix	Prime Sierpinski Project	1	2013-11-08 07:35
PSI, mpg, GHz P4-days and P90 years	Batalov	PrimeNet	30	2008-10-03 19:10
Assignments more than 2 years old??	robo_mojo	PrimeNet	4	2008-07-23 23:32
4 years of search	SPH	Math	3	2008-06-19 11:52
Gigaflops rate greatly exceeds trend predicted 2 1/2 years ago	GP2	Data	17	2003-12-05 11:20

2010-10-29, 15:07	#35
ATH Einyen Dec 2003 Denmark 3⁵×13 Posts	Ah yes I forgot that one, I was focussing on all the reports people linked in zip-files. I'll update the graph later, but I'll wait a bit and see if anyone has more classic reports from the v5 server 2008-2010.