Predict M42

Uncwilly · 2004-09-23, 22:27

Ok, folks, moving beyond the poll, let us try to predict M42.

THE RULES OF THE GAME:

Post your guess here, no PM'ing me.
Your guess must be a prime number (we are guessing the exponent).
The guesses are for 'M42', that is: the next reported Mersenne prime that is larger than the 41st known Mersenne Prime, namely 2^24,036,583-1
You can not guess a number that has already been guessed.
If there is a tie (i.e. 2 posts are equally close and meet all other rules), the first post gets it.
You may post 1 guess every 90 days (after posting a guess you must wait 90 days, not wait til a new quarter).
All guesses received within the 48 hours before M42 is reported are hereby disqualified (to prevent cheating).
I ask the moderators to lock this thread when M42 is reported.
The discoverer of M42 will have all guesses posted more than 4 days after they were assigned the expo that is reported to be prime, hereby disqualified.
If the prime that is reported fails the rechecks, those disqualified in 7 and 8 will be restored.
Commentary should be greatly restrained.
Further rules may be added if needed.

From time to time, I may post stats on the guesses.

Uncwilly · 2004-09-23, 22:46

My wild starter guess:

42,141,607

wpolly · 2004-09-24, 11:16

41,991,811

Uncwilly · 2004-09-28, 19:35

Nobody else wants to go on the record with a guess????????

Uncwilly · 2004-10-27, 18:00

bump

Wolf · 2004-10-27, 18:58

38,009,849

Tihy · 2004-10-27, 20:08

Is there any "Moore's" law that can be applied on primes?

Andi47 · 2004-10-27, 20:26

My guess is 28,756,447

patrik · 2004-10-27, 20:30

27496619

Uncwilly · 2004-10-27, 22:02

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tihy

Is there any "Moore's" law that can be applied on primes?

jinydu · 2004-10-27, 23:00

I think he meant the largest known prime by year. If I didn't have a midterm exam tomorrow, I would look for that.

2004-09-23, 22:27	#1
Uncwilly 6809 > 6502 """"""""""""""""""" Aug 2003 101×103 Posts 17×619 Posts	Predict M42 Ok, folks, moving beyond the poll, let us try to predict M42. THE RULES OF THE GAME: Post your guess here, no PM'ing me. Your guess must be a prime number (we are guessing the exponent). The guesses are for 'M42', that is: the next reported Mersenne prime that is larger than the 41st known Mersenne Prime, namely 2^24,036,583-1 You can not guess a number that has already been guessed. If there is a tie (i.e. 2 posts are equally close and meet all other rules), the first post gets it. You may post 1 guess every 90 days (after posting a guess you must wait 90 days, not wait til a new quarter). All guesses received within the 48 hours before M42 is reported are hereby disqualified (to prevent cheating). I ask the moderators to lock this thread when M42 is reported. The discoverer of M42 will have all guesses posted more than 4 days after they were assigned the expo that is reported to be prime, hereby disqualified. If the prime that is reported fails the rechecks, those disqualified in 7 and 8 will be restored. Commentary should be greatly restrained. Further rules may be added if needed. From time to time, I may post stats on the guesses.

2004-09-24, 11:16	#3
wpolly Sep 2002 Vienna, Austria 3·73 Posts	41,991,811

2004-09-28, 19:35	#4
Uncwilly 6809 > 6502 """"""""""""""""""" Aug 2003 101×103 Posts 17×619 Posts	Nobody else wants to go on the record with a guess????????

2004-10-27, 20:08	#7
Tihy Oct 2004 Romania 3² Posts	Is there any "Moore's" law that can be applied on primes?

2004-10-27, 20:30	#9
patrik "Patrik Johansson" Aug 2002 Uppsala, Sweden 5²·17 Posts	27496619

2004-10-27, 23:00	#11
jinydu Dec 2003 Hopefully Near M48 2×3×293 Posts	I think he meant the largest known prime by year. If I didn't have a midterm exam tomorrow, I would look for that.