
View Poll Results: Will GIMPS Ever Discover 2 Primes Out of Sequence?  
Yes  22  70.97%  
No  9  29.03%  
Voters: 31. You may not vote on this poll 

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20060912, 04:07  #1 
Dec 2003
Hopefully Near M48
2×3×293 Posts 
Will GIMPS Ever Discover Two Primes Out of Sequence?
Just curious what you think. Will GIMPS ever discover one prime, and then later discover another one smaller than the first?

20060912, 04:09  #2 
Jun 2005
17E_{16} Posts 

20060912, 04:23  #3 
"Kyle"
Feb 2005
Somewhere near M50..sshh!
2·3·149 Posts 
I think it will happen eventually as well.

20060912, 06:00  #4 
"Richard B. Woods"
Aug 2002
Wisconsin USA
2^{2}×3×599 Posts 
I, too, think jinydu will eventually change his profile.
(Will Primeinator?  I don't know. ) Last fiddled with by cheesehead on 20060912 at 06:03 
20080916, 16:13  #5 
Dec 2003
Hopefully Near M48
2·3·293 Posts 
22 out of 31 users guessed correctly.

20080917, 22:41  #6 
Aug 2008
2·43 Posts 
Another question that could have been asked would be:
Someday GIMPS will find a new prime that is lower than the current maximum mersenne prime, thus changing the order. How long will it take before this smaller prime is found, thus correcting the order? a) 14 days or less b) 15 days  6 months c) 6 months  2 years d) 2 years  5 years e) longer than 5 years Last fiddled with by uigrad on 20080917 at 22:43 
20080917, 22:47  #7  
"Kyle"
Feb 2005
Somewhere near M50..sshh!
1576_{8} Posts 
Quote:


20080917, 23:21  #8 
6809 > 6502
"""""""""""""""""""
Aug 2003
101×103 Posts
2^{2}·5·19·23 Posts 
Make your own poll.

20080917, 23:48  #9  
"Richard B. Woods"
Aug 2002
Wisconsin USA
16024_{8} Posts 
Quote:
(1) what is meant by "current maximum mersenne prime"  the current M46 (so that you mean today's M46 will become M47), or whatever is the largest at the time the next outoforder prime is found? and (2) what is meant by "How long will it take before this smaller prime is found"  the time interval from today, September 17, 2008, or the time interval between the discovery of the thenlargest prime and the discovery of a smaller one? Suppose we find M47 = 55xxxxxx, then later M48 = 66xxxxxx, then another Mersenne prime at exponent 54xxxxxx. Is it to be the time interval between the discoveries of 55xxxxxx and 54xxxxxx, or the one between discoveries of 66xxxxxx and 54xxxxxx, or the one between today and discovery of 54xxxxxx? 

20080918, 05:15  #10  
Aug 2008
2×43 Posts 
Quote:
(2) Time from the first prime that was found above the gap (ie out of order) until all primes in the gaps are found. I guess we could still vote, since we don't know if there are more primes in the gap, but I think that most people now would vote a). Even if someone thinks that there is a greater than 50% chance that another prime hides between M39 and M46, they might not want to guess between the be choices, so that person may just pick a). It's still remarkable to me that we had two found so close to each other, and that it happened with 2 primes that are of prizequalifying size. I was just trying to present that in a different way. Last fiddled with by uigrad on 20080918 at 05:16 

20090606, 16:32  #11 
6809 > 6502
"""""""""""""""""""
Aug 2003
101×103 Posts
21044_{8} Posts 
deja vu

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