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Old 2020-03-18, 22:38   #221
Uncwilly
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ewmayer View Post
Suspending patent enforcement in this context is more or less required.
If textbook suppliers don't come up with some creative and open solutions soon, I think we might see targeted copyright suspensions on schoolbooks.
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Old 2020-03-18, 23:27   #222
xilman
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Quote:
Originally Posted by a1call View Post
Easy enough for the company to protect their patent rights and yet not lose the PR situation.

Grant the guy a personal license to their invention at a fee set at, say, 1 cent per device. Said license to be valid for a period of two years or the manufacture of 10,000 devices, whichever comes first.

Along side this, make a charitable donation for a sum significantly in excess of $100 to the hospital where the guy works, along with an ex gratia payment to the chap himself, again in excess of $100. Account for it as "advertising expense" or the like.
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Old 2020-03-19, 00:10   #223
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Quote:
Originally Posted by a1call View Post
An important update on this subject:
No threats of legal action:


https://www.theverge.com/2020/3/17/2...ves-treatments
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Old 2020-03-19, 00:25   #224
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Quote:
Originally Posted by a1call View Post
Re anti-inflammatory drugs,
See this post and the following 3 posts:

https://forum.cosmoquest.org/showthr...27#post2507327
From later in the thread, I love these signature pearls. The Leif Ericson starship link is really interesting, too.
Quote:
The problem with quotes on the Internet is that it is hard to verify their authenticity." — Abraham Lincoln

I say there is an invisible elf in my backyard. How do you prove that I am wrong?

The Leif Ericson Cruiser
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Old 2020-03-19, 01:28   #225
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ewmayer View Post
COVID-19 Has Caused A Shortage Of Face Masks. But They’re Surprisingly Hard To Make NPR

Note that this sort of issue - everything else is easy, but there is one tricky subcomponent that is very difficult to manufacture - is ubiquitous in modern manufacturing chains. So the western world's wartime-rationing-style crash course in re-onshoring of manufacture, and refurbishment and re-use of existing gear is going to involve a lot of creative solutions. Suspending patent enforcement in this context is more or less required.
The impression I get from a quick web search is this manufacturing is dominated by China and perhaps even more so India. The box in my home bought years ago is from India.
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Old 2020-03-19, 01:30   #226
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Default Numbers update

Tonight's numbers:
Global:
cases 214894, deaths 8749, recovered 83313
CFR1= 8749/(8749+83313) = 0.0950 = 9.5% still climbing
CFR2= 8749/214894 = 0.0407 = 4.07%
active cases= 214894-8749-83313 = 122,832

US: cases 7769, deaths 118, recovered 106
CFR1= 118/(118+106) = 0.527 = 52.7%! Numbers still small enough that one Washington state nursing home has a substantial effect.
CFR2= 118/7769 = 0.0152 = 1.52%
active cases = 7769-118-106 = 7545

https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashb...23467b48e9ecf6
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Old 2020-03-20, 01:44   #227
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Tonight's numbers:
Globally:
cases 242726, deaths 9870, recoveries 85676
CFR1 = 9870=(9870+85676) = 0.1033 = 10.33%
CFR2 = 9870 / 242726 = .04066 = 4.07%
active cases = 242726-9870-85676 = 147180

US: case increase is substantially related to an increased testing rate
cases 13678, deaths 200, recovered 108
CFR1 = 200/(200+108) = 0.649 = 64.9%!
CFR2 = 200 / 13678 = 0.0146 = 1.46%
active cases = 13678-200-108 = 13370

https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashb...23467b48e9ecf6
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Old 2020-03-20, 04:02   #228
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kriesel View Post
Tonight's numbers:
US: case increase is substantially related to an increased testing rate
cases 13678, deaths 200, recovered 108
CFR1 = 200/(200+108) = 0.649 = 64.9%!
CFR2 = 200 / 13678 = 0.0146 = 1.46%
active cases = 13678-200-108 = 13370
The highlighted number is highly biased by that facility in Washington state.

California now has what amounts to a "STAY the ____ HOME" order.
You can go out and walk around. Go to the park, but stay away from people. Stores that are non-essential (selling things like clothes, electronics, books, etc.) are to close. Some guberment workers are to stay home.

Last fiddled with by Uncwilly on 2020-03-20 at 04:02
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Old 2020-03-20, 07:34   #229
retina
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Uncwilly View Post
The highlighted number is highly biased by that facility in Washington state.
All the numbers are biased and useless. You need to test the entire population to know the actual figures.
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Old 2020-03-20, 09:24   #230
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Quote:
Originally Posted by retina View Post
All the numbers are biased and useless. You need to test the entire population to know the actual figures.
I agree.

The statistics of one country, South Korea, could be less biased because of their hunting up all contacts of infected people and testing them.

Jacob
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Old 2020-03-20, 15:03   #231
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Quote:
Originally Posted by retina View Post
All the numbers are biased and useless. You need to test the entire population to know the actual figures.
You can get a decent idea with stratified random sampling, but we don't even have enough tests for that right now. It would be very useful, though, because it would give an idea of the level of community-acquired COVID-19.
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