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Old 2022-03-08, 05:53   #166
tuckerkao
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Uncwilly View Post
Did you confer with Greenskull to make such a precise prediction?
I've only placed my WW3 guess down, haven't read Greenskull's theories much.

It'll be hard for anyone to determine the accuracy such early on.

The American Democratic government hasn't taken the guns away from its own people and M#52 not yet discovered, too early for the nuclear WW3.

Dec 2036~Feb 2037 will be right after the U.S. presidential election, possibly a party-switch from the United States side that can provoke someone like Putin.

Last fiddled with by tuckerkao on 2022-03-08 at 05:59
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Old 2022-03-08, 06:10   #167
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I would suggest that "predictions for 2036"/trolling be made somewhere else.
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Old 2022-03-08, 13:58   #168
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tuckerkao View Post
I believe this Russo-Ukraine crisis will eventually cool down and the real nuclear World War III will break out Between the Allies and Russia during the winter season from Dec 2036 to Feb 2037.
I would classify the above as fake news.

1 Ruble = $0.0068 USD. $1 USD = 147.75 Rubles. It has hovered in this area for several days.
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Old 2022-03-08, 14:26   #169
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Quote:
Originally Posted by storm5510 View Post
<snip>
1 Ruble = $0.0068 USD. $1 USD = 147.75 Rubles. It has hovered in this area for several days.
The ruble has plummeted. It's not the first time.
Quote:
Such experiences are nothing new to Russians. They have had to act quickly in these kinds of economic crises before. The ruble has repeatedly collapsed in Russian history, taking people's savings with it and leaving them to contend with the fallout.
<snip>
During World War I, Tsarist Russia's economy was wracked by hyperinflation caused, in part, by excessive currency printing.
<snip>
The Bolsheviks quickly realized this was an unsustainable strategy and reversed course. They launched a currency reform that introduced a new ruble for domestic use and a gold-backed currency, the chervonets, for foreign trade. By the end of the currency reform, the 1924 ruble was worth 1/5,000,000 of a 1922 ruble. This helped to stabilize the money economy and workers' wages and living standards.
<snip>
Immediately after Nazi Germany attacked the Soviet Union in June 1941, the ruble collapsed yet again.
<snip>
The currency reform of December 1947 aimed to take excess cash out of circulation and penalize war profiteers. But news of it was leaked in the days leading up to the reform, first to Communist Party members who took full advantage of this knowledge. This led to a run on the banks, then a run to the banks, after it was revealed that a better exchange rate would be given to savings. People rushed to invest old cash rubles in material goods and nonperishable foods before they lost 9/10 of their value overnight. The reform allowed the state to renege on much of its debt to the population after years of semi-forced investments in state bonds. Ordinary people lost millions of rubles as their savings were "converted."
<snip>
After a period of relative prosperity under Leonid Brezhnev, the country's economic problems could no longer be glossed over under Mikhail Gorbachev.
<snip>
When the Soviet Union collapsed in December 1991, it took many citizens' savings with it. Some Russian citizens have since taken the government to court to recover their losses.
<snip>
The most recent collapse occurred in 2014 when the ruble's exchange rate to the dollar plummeted from the mid-30s to around 80 in December that year because of falling oil prices, the impact of Western sanctions over Russia's annexation of Crimea and the start of the war in the Donbas and declining investor confidence. ATMs stopped dispensing dollars. Some popular foreign firms in Russia, like Ikea, even stopped selling certain products there because of the currency's volatility.

At the time, the Russian central bank stopped the ruble's free fall by propping it up with hard currency reserves it gained by selling off assets. Although today's sanctions aim to limit the Central Bank's ability to deploy this strategy, the Russian government is promising its citizens that they will not lose big once again. It raised the interest rate Monday from 9.5 to 20 percent partly in an attempt to "protect citizens' savings against depreciation."
<snip>
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Old 2022-03-08, 16:10   #170
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Reports are circulating that President Biden will issue an Executive Order banning the import of oil from Russia.

The Administration had been reluctant to take this step, but apparently has decided to do so one step ahead of Congress, which will include such a ban in legislation currently being worked out.
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Old 2022-03-08, 19:44   #171
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I think Zelensky is doing a fair job, BUT
his near constant hammering about a no-fly zone is bordering on OCD
and is a non-starter and a waste of time.
NATO will never agree to it because it is a direct path to nuclear war.
He whined about it again in his address to the British parliament.
Recently, he claimed that all casualties from here on are NATO's fault due
to its refusal to implement a no-fly zone.
You are not going to convince anyone nor win any friends with rhetoric like that, Mr Zelensky.


I will never understand why he didn't try to get his country more ready
before the invasion with some common sense actions instead of his
"Gee , maybe if I don't do anything the Russians won't invade" baloney.
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Old 2022-03-08, 23:02   #172
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kriesel View Post
"memories of the last moments of life are greatly amplified".
<snip>
See also An Occurrence at Owl Creek Bridge by Ambrose Bierce.

A film adaptation was made into an episode of The Twilight Zone (Season 5, Episode 22, aired 28 February 1964)
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Old 2022-03-08, 23:56   #173
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dr Sardonicus View Post
A film adaptation was made into an episode of The Twilight Zone (Season 5, Episode 22, aired 28 February 1964)
That particular version (there have been other filmings of it) won an Oscar (1963 Academy Award, Best Live Action Short Film). It is an oddity that a TV episode is also an Oscar winner.
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Old 2022-03-09, 11:42   #174
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tServo View Post
I'm sure they now wish they had retained at least a few.
2 points:
(1) this may impact any attempt to negotiate nuclear arms reductions in countries like the Hermit Kingdom or Iran.
They will point out, see what happened to Ukraine? I'm sure the Israelis are feeling pretty smug about their choice.

(2) Nuclear weapons are notoriously VERY expensive to maintain in working order. This would be doubly so
since Ukraine probably didn't have the physical infrastructure to deal with these things. All that stuff was probably
in Russia.
The PALs were under Russian control, not Ukrainian, which might have proven difficult for the Ukrainians.
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Old 2022-03-09, 17:51   #175
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I read a short time ago that the power to the Chernobyl nuclear power plant has been cut off. The spent fuel rods will begin to heat up as they are in close proximity to each other. One they get hot enough, the danger of a radioactive material release grows.
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Old 2022-03-09, 20:37   #176
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Quote:
Originally Posted by storm5510 View Post
I read a short time ago that the power to the Chernobyl nuclear power plant has been cut off. The spent fuel rods will begin to heat up as they are in close proximity to each other. One they get hot enough, the danger of a radioactive material release grows.

There seems to be some disagreement about the timing of this.
The Ukrainians say sooner rather than later and the IAEA says eventually, but there's
plenty of time to remedy this.
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