20201224, 02:58  #166 
Mar 2019
143_{10} Posts 
Let's make a deal: if that number turns out to be composite, you'll get the vaccine? Is that how much confidence you have?

20201224, 03:06  #167 
Jul 2009
Germany
547 Posts 

20201228, 22:51  #168  
Jan 2020
9D_{16} Posts 
Quote:


20201231, 16:29  #169 
6809 > 6502
"""""""""""""""""""
Aug 2003
101×103 Posts
2^{3}×3×383 Posts 
Something that is really interesting. Today, is the day that is the mean of all the rational date guesses (those less than 1500 days from the discovery of M51). AND today, we have only 1 exponent (100165523) untested below the mean of all sane exponent guesses (sane being: less than twice M51 and the date for the guess as above.) So, if the wisdom of the crowd is any good, we are in the right range. The average time between Mersenne discoveries since the start of the 1990's is 515 day (or 478 days is we track since M34). We are over the average, but still haven't passed the average time plus 1 std dev (April 11, 2021).

20210102, 09:32  #170  
Jan 2020
157 Posts 
Quote:
Whether there is a real Mersenne Prime hidden within this range, only time will tell. 

20210111, 14:35  #171 
Jan 2020
10011101_{2} Posts 
Ben Delo just finished testing and certifying M102,125,743 which signified he was only 2 full weeks before reaching M102,374,113
Last fiddled with by tuckerkao on 20210111 at 14:45 
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