20211006, 15:49  #12  
Xebeche
Apr 2019
๐บ๐๐บ
3^{2}×7^{2} Posts 
I have no complaints. And there is no limit to perfection :)
Taking into account your understanding, you should hit the bull'seye right off the bat. Or do you also pass like Dr Sardonicus? Oops! Quote:
By fundamental factors, I mean the specifics of the exponents processing mechanism. I don't quite thoroughly understand this mechanism yet. And so I prefer to investigate curves. Last fiddled with by greenskull on 20211006 at 16:07 

20211006, 16:07  #13  
Feb 2017
Nowhere
5342_{10} Posts 
Quote:
I'm certainly not going to argue with my own success 

20211006, 16:13  #14  
Xebeche
Apr 2019
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3^{2}×7^{2} Posts 
Quote:


20211006, 16:34  #15  
"TF79LL86GIMPS96gpu17"
Mar 2017
US midwest
17CD_{16} Posts 
Quote:
https://mersenneforum.org/profile.php?do=ignorelist Last fiddled with by kriesel on 20211006 at 16:41 

20211006, 16:59  #16  
Xebeche
Apr 2019
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3^{2}×7^{2} Posts 
Quote:
But I don't have enough data yet to confirm this scenario. Therefore, for me it is still an optimistic hypothesis that is being tested by time. 

20211006, 20:32  #17 
"TF79LL86GIMPS96gpu17"
Mar 2017
US midwest
3^{2}×677 Posts 
Collection of Mp49*Mp51* remaining DC versus date
The values have been collected from numerous posts with date/time stamps in the Mp48* thread.
Here it is, for the convenient reference of any who wish to make projections, fits, guesses, estimates, proclamations etc. 
20211006, 21:38  #18 
6809 > 6502
"""""""""""""""""""
Aug 2003
101ร103 Posts
10011111111001_{2} Posts 
Oct 31, 2024
I think I might start DC'ing downward from M49. That will help the value jump quickly at the end. Last fiddled with by Uncwilly on 20211006 at 21:43 
20211006, 22:00  #19 
Xebeche
Apr 2019
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3^{2}×7^{2} Posts 

20211007, 02:39  #20 
Feb 2017
Nowhere
2·2,671 Posts 
I see a major discrepancy  on the order of a factor of 2  between the rate of clearance figures "20k exponents cleared/6 months" (as per firejuggler) and "213 exponents cleared per day" (as per kriesel).

20211007, 02:54  #21 
"TF79LL86GIMPS96gpu17"
Mar 2017
US midwest
3^{2}×677 Posts 
Perhaps explainable by different exponent ranges.
DC done below Mp48 would affect the totals left for up to Mp49* and higher also, but DC above Mp48 or Mp49 affects some totals left but not below. Also, several months at the end of reaching Mp48 naturally has progressively lower daily rate of DC completion. Many systems would not qualify for cat 1 or 0, and eventually there are too few exponents left to occupy available DC throughput. The bulk of the DC wave moves onward to higher exponents. Last fiddled with by kriesel on 20211007 at 03:10 
20211007, 03:01  #22 
6809 > 6502
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Aug 2003
101ร103 Posts
3^{3}·379 Posts 
Well I have been tracking the number of exponents with outstanding need for DC (in the range of 0M to 150M). In recent times that has been ~200 +/ 30 per day. My estimate of when we will reach the goal is based upon the progress in the DC milestone. Currently we are fitting the long term curve very well. And that corresponds well to kriesel's estimated date.

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