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View Poll Results: The next exponent after n=333333 will be...
under n=400K 2 8.70%
between n=400K and 460K 4 17.39%
between n=460K and 520K 12 52.17%
between n=520K and 580K 1 4.35%
above n=580K 4 17.39%
Voters: 23. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 2007-01-16, 17:55   #12
jmblazek
 
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I agree, n=585000 is nice at 3 X 195000. This will give us a 175,000 digit twin.

Also, n=666666 is nice at 2 X 333333. Or 678910 also works 6, 7, 8, 9, 10. These will give us a 200,000 digit twin.

Nevertheless, both of these n's, with current computing power of the project, would take over 9 years to reach 90% probability.

But hey, we got lucky with the first twin...maybe we'll get lucky again. Also, PG was just starting to rev up...so maybe these are doable in a reasonable time frame (2-4 years).
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Old 2007-01-16, 20:13   #13
pschoefer
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jmblazek View Post
I agree, n=585000 is nice at 3 X 195000. This will give us a 175,000 digit twin.

Also, n=666666 is nice at 2 X 333333. Or 678910 also works 6, 7, 8, 9, 10. These will give us a 200,000 digit twin.
Nice numbers, but I think we should go with smaller steps, like 333333, 444444, 456789, 543210, 555555, ...

Quote:
Nevertheless, both of these n's, with current computing power of the project, would take over 9 years to reach 90% probability.

But hey, we got lucky with the first twin...maybe we'll get lucky again. Also, PG was just starting to rev up...so maybe these are doable in a reasonable time frame (2-4 years).
In the last search at PrimeGrid, only one quarter of all active participants took part, so if all participants run llr the next time, we can finish it in a acceptable time.
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Old 2007-01-16, 20:20   #14
biwema
 
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My favorite is 500000 or later maybe 666666.

Before making a decision. Check where the fft thresholds are (with a large k (of 1T)). Maybe the point is just few thousands below the decision. Then it could be 50% (guess) faster.
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Old 2007-01-16, 22:32   #15
MooMoo2
 
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"Michael Kwok"
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Quote:
Originally Posted by biwema View Post
My favorite is 500000 or later maybe 666666.

Before making a decision. Check where the fft thresholds are (with a large k (of 1T)). Maybe the point is just few thousands below the decision. Then it could be 50% (guess) faster.
I'm leaning toward 500000 too. It's a nice number, near an FFT threshold, and breaks the 150,000 digit barrier. This threshold occurs before 524288 (2^19), so 524288 is not a good number.
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Old 2007-01-18, 15:28   #16
pacionet
 
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But on January 31, we decide the next exponent (and I can start sieving) or we decide the range (and then a new poll start to decide the exponent in that range ??? )

I hope the first one,...

Last fiddled with by pacionet on 2007-01-18 at 15:29
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Old 2007-01-18, 16:24   #17
MooMoo2
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pacionet View Post
But on January 31, we decide the next exponent (and I can start sieving) or we decide the range (and then a new poll start to decide the exponent in that range ??? )

I hope the first one,...
We'll know what the next exponent is by Jan 31st. I'll choose the exponent, which will come from the range that gets the most votes.
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Old 2007-01-19, 10:22   #18
pacionet
 
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For n=500,000 , which seems to be the most probable candidate, what should be the reasonable sieve limit and the probabilities to find a twin ?
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Old 2007-01-19, 12:02   #19
biwema
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pacionet View Post
For n=500,000 , which seems to be the most probable candidate, what should be the reasonable sieve limit and the probabilities to find a twin ?
See my realier post in the bonic section:
Quote:
500000
FFT size: 48K
Time 1 test: 500 s
Optimal sieve bits: 57.5
Tests per twin: 23.7M
Twin every G: 90
90% chance after G: 207
CPU years per twin: 376
To have the smae chance of finding a twin I suggest sieve a 250G. The optimal sieve limit will be around 100P to 200P.

Note: After NewPGen is merging the Range at 1G, the save file will be around 4 -4.4 GB. Make sure that your system supports that. Otherwise split the range and merge them after 1T.
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Old 2007-01-19, 22:17   #20
jasong
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by biwema View Post
See my realier post in the bonic section:


To have the smae chance of finding a twin I suggest sieve a 250G. The optimal sieve limit will be around 100P to 200P.

Note: After NewPGen is merging the Range at 1G, the save file will be around 4 -4.4 GB. Make sure that your system supports that. Otherwise split the range and merge them after 1T.
I'll sieve k=1 to 100G if no one else claims it. I'll go to at least 10^15.

Unless someone already started that?
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Old 2007-01-19, 22:40   #21
MooMoo2
 
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"Michael Kwok"
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jasong View Post
I'll sieve k=1 to 100G if no one else claims it. I'll go to at least 10^15.

Unless someone already started that?
Pacionet will be sieving the next n, after 333333.
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Old 2007-01-20, 20:34   #22
biwema
 
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There are different kinds of twin search areas:

1. Interesting or beautiuful exponents: 333333, 500000, 600000, 666666 ...

2. Milestones: 100000 digits, Exponent >=500000, 200000 Digits...

3. Efficient Exponents: Below a FFT limit. (Maybe not to lose, otherwise the number of roundoffsmay increase.

4. Exact number of digits: here the sieving range will be in one decade (for example k between 80G- 800G. Search range is not infinite.

5. other choice

Maybe people can also vote what kind of candidate they want to test.
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