Predict M52

[LaurV]

Originally Posted by joblack

Took me over 4 years of background calculation. Unfortunately no prime but I am still a little bit proud for my patience. :)

Congratulations! Now you are, as your name says, "job lack"... (unless you start another one!).


Hey, I did TF to 73 to that one!

[GP2]

Originally Posted by LaurV

Hey, I did TF to 73 to that one!

But M332,356,309 ought to be TF'd to at least 81, better yet 84 (it's at 77 now). And P−1 was only done to B1=B2=5.3M, which is fairly low. Better would be B2=75M or 100M.

I can't help but think of M333,070,799, which was factored four days after an LL test was completed.

[joblack]

Originally Posted by LaurV

Congratulations! Now you are, as your name says, "job lack"... (unless you start another one!).
Hey, I did TF to 73 to that one!

Nicenstein.

No I have a second one at around 80 percent.

Didn't manually care about the TF'ing just set it up to 'world record prime number' and let it roll. Maybe the automatic queuing order should be different.

[masser]

115856161

July 4th, 2023

[dcheuk]

Originally Posted by dcheuk

M87668491 March 14, 2019
M89065523 March 14, 2020
M91761547 March 14, 2021

2019/07/18: M87668491 is not prime. LL residue: 7AAF77EE96E1ED__.
2019/07/22: M89065523 is not prime. LL residue: B32AA15CA93F6F__.
2019/07/26: MM91761547 is not prime. LL residue: 0A2547DD85A473__.

Guess I'll be guessing new exponents 2019/09/27.

[Uncwilly]

Originally Posted by dcheuk

2019/07/18: M87668491 is not prime. LL residue: 7AAF77EE96E1ED__.
2019/07/22: M89065523 is not prime. LL residue: B32AA15CA93F6F__.
2019/07/26: MM91761547 is not prime. LL residue: 0A2547DD85A473__.

Guess I'll be guessing new exponents 2019/09/27.

Why? Under which rule?

Originally Posted by Uncwilly

6. You may post 3 guesses (for each number and date). If all exponents up to your number have had a first time test (or DC), you may select another, after a 60 day wait. Same (60 day wait) for date predictions that have passed.

This does not apply. We have not gotten to 87668491 yet. Current milestone is: 85387261 Note that the rule says all exponents.

[kriesel]

Originally Posted by dcheuk

Guess I'll be guessing new exponents 2019/09/27.

I think by rule 6 you're now eligible to guess a new DATE to replace 2019 Mar 14 (pi day past). A rough estimate of when your 87.xM guess may become eligible for replacement is March 2020.

[dcheuk]

Originally Posted by Uncwilly

Why? Under which rule?
This does not apply. We have not gotten to 87668491 yet. Current milestone is: 85387261 Note that the rule says all exponents.

Oh oops epic failed cannot read. I read this in my head:

... you may select another, after a 60 day wait ...

Nevermind lol

[sweety439]

94539113

May 09, 2021

[Uncwilly]

Originally Posted by kriesel

I think by rule 6 you're now eligible to guess a new DATE to replace 2019 Mar 14 (pi day past).

Originally Posted by dcheuk

Oh oops epic failed cannot read. I read this in my head:

Wait a moment:
Based upon the previous ruling on the rules before (see below), because the date and the number were tied together, once the date passed, it free you up (after 60 days) to guess them again. So, guess that one.

Originally Posted by Uncwilly

Date guesses expire based upon date. However invalid date guesses (those already guessed) invalid[ate] the whole of the guess (same way with invalid exponent guesses). A guesser may choose to guess the dates and exponents independent of each other (as a separate line or group). If guessed independent of each other any single piece is invalid at the time of the guessing, this preserves the other.
When a date or exponent guess becomes passe, after the 60 day wait, the other component may certainly be reused (subject, of course, to it being currently valid.)

[dcheuk]

Originally Posted by Uncwilly

Wait a moment:
Based upon the previous ruling on the rules before (see below), because the date and the number were tied together, once the date passed, it free you up (after 60 days) to guess them again. So, guess that one.

So I get to pick a new exponent AND a date?