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Old 2019-05-28, 13:26   #1
enzocreti
 
Mar 2018

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Default recursive formula

I dont remember but there is a recursive formula for calculating the chance that six nines in a row occur this early in pi grecus (the Feynman Point so called)...can somebody explain to me how this probability is calculated?
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Old 2019-05-28, 17:23   #2
CRGreathouse
 
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If you treat each sequence of six digits like six numbers selected uniformly at random from 0-9, the chance that a given one is 999999 is 1/1000000, the chance it isn't is 999999/1000000, and the chance that none of the first 762 are is (999999/1000000)^762 = 0.9992.... But if there's nothing special about the 9, you might look at the chance that none of the first 762 starts a sequence of six digits all alike -- I trust you can find these odds?
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Old 2019-05-28, 18:33   #3
enzocreti
 
Mar 2018

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Default odds

Quote:
Originally Posted by CRGreathouse View Post
If you treat each sequence of six digits like six numbers selected uniformly at random from 0-9, the chance that a given one is 999999 is 1/1000000, the chance it isn't is 999999/1000000, and the chance that none of the first 762 are is (999999/1000000)^762 = 0.9992.... But if there's nothing special about the 9, you might look at the chance that none of the first 762 starts a sequence of six digits all alike -- I trust you can find these odds?



There is a recursive formula


the number can end in x (x different from 9)
can ends in x9, x99, x999, x9999,x99999


so the probability not to see six nines in a row in the first 762 digits let's call it 9T(762-1)


9T(761)=9T(760)+9T(759)+9T(758)+9T(757)+9T(756)


this should be the recursive formula but i am not sure


the problem is also to determine the values of T(761) ...

Last fiddled with by enzocreti on 2019-05-28 at 18:35
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Old 2019-05-29, 02:54   #4
CRGreathouse
 
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There is a very simple formula you can punch into a scientific calculator (you need an exponent key, not just a 4-function calculator, but nothing fancy). Look at my post.
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