Poll: When Will M43 Be Discovered?

Uncwilly · 2005-02-25, 23:39

Ok, folks, moving beyond the poll, let us try to predict M43.

THE RULES OF THE GAME:

Post your guess here, no PM'ing me.
Your guess must be a prime number (we are guessing the exponent).
The guesses are for 'M43', that is: the next reported Mersenne prime that is larger than the 42nd known Mersenne Prime, namely 2[sup]25,964,951[/sup]-1
You can not guess a number that has already been guessed.
If there is a tie (i.e. 2 posts are equally close and meet all other rules), the first post gets it.
You may post 1 guess every 90 days (after posting a guess you must wait 90 days, not wait til a new quarter).
All guesses received within the 48 hours before M43 is reported are hereby disqualified (to prevent cheating).
The discoverer of M43 will have all guesses posted more than 4 days after they were assigned the expo that is reported to be prime, hereby disqualified.
If the prime that is reported fails the rechecks, those disqualified in 7 and 8 will be restored.
Commentary should be greatly restrained.
Further rules may be added if needed.

From time to time, I may post stats on the guesses.

Andi47 · 2005-02-26, 06:57

My wild guess is the same I tried for 42: 28,756,447

Uncwilly · 2005-02-26, 16:25

Same as my previous last: 39447007

Primeinator · 2005-02-26, 17:15

My guess for the exponent is: 25,964,951

Uncwilly · 2005-02-27, 01:42

Quote:

Originally Posted by Primeinator

My guess for the exponent is: 25,964,951

Bad guess, a number can't be larger than itself.

Guess again, we are guessing at M43, not M42.

Primeinator · 2005-02-27, 01:54

oohh oops! I misread sorry. I feel really stupid and absent minded now...

Umm...my guess is 27,927,307

patrik · 2005-02-27, 10:50

28658771

Spherical Cow · 2005-02-27, 16:59

Just because its a neat prime....34,353,637

jinydu · 2005-02-27, 17:11

.

Prime95 · 2005-02-27, 17:53

I predict 61,042,873. A huge dry spell that will test our patience.

Guilherme · 2005-02-27, 18:02

33,526,837

View Poll Results: When will the next Mersenne Prime be Found?
First Half of 2005	2	3.33%
Second Half of 2005	19	31.67%
First Half of 2006	20	33.33%
Second Half of 2006	14	23.33%
2007 or later	5	8.33%
Voters: 60. You may not vote on this poll

2005-02-25, 23:39	#1
Uncwilly 6809 > 6502 """"""""""""""""""" Aug 2003 101×103 Posts 2³·1,223 Posts	Predict M43 Ok, folks, moving beyond the poll, let us try to predict M43. THE RULES OF THE GAME: Post your guess here, no PM'ing me. Your guess must be a prime number (we are guessing the exponent). The guesses are for 'M43', that is: the next reported Mersenne prime that is larger than the 42nd known Mersenne Prime, namely 2[sup]25,964,951[/sup]-1 You can not guess a number that has already been guessed. If there is a tie (i.e. 2 posts are equally close and meet all other rules), the first post gets it. You may post 1 guess every 90 days (after posting a guess you must wait 90 days, not wait til a new quarter). All guesses received within the 48 hours before M43 is reported are hereby disqualified (to prevent cheating). The discoverer of M43 will have all guesses posted more than 4 days after they were assigned the expo that is reported to be prime, hereby disqualified. If the prime that is reported fails the rechecks, those disqualified in 7 and 8 will be restored. Commentary should be greatly restrained. Further rules may be added if needed. From time to time, I may post stats on the guesses.

2005-02-27, 17:11	#9
jinydu Dec 2003 Hopefully Near M48 2×3×293 Posts	Poll: When Will M43 Be Discovered? .

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2005-02-26, 06:57	#2
Andi47 Oct 2004 Austria 2·17·73 Posts	My wild guess is the same I tried for 42: 28,756,447

2005-02-26, 17:15	#4
Primeinator "Kyle" Feb 2005 Somewhere near M52.. 915₁₀ Posts	My guess for the exponent is: 25,964,951

2005-02-27, 01:54	#6
Primeinator "Kyle" Feb 2005 Somewhere near M52.. 3·5·61 Posts	oohh oops! I misread sorry. I feel really stupid and absent minded now... Umm...my guess is 27,927,307

2005-02-27, 10:50	#7
patrik "Patrik Johansson" Aug 2002 Uppsala, Sweden 1A9₁₆ Posts	28658771

2005-02-27, 17:53	#10
Prime95 P90 years forever! Aug 2002 Yeehaw, FL 2·53·71 Posts	I predict 61,042,873. A huge dry spell that will test our patience.

2005-02-27, 18:02	#11
Guilherme Nov 2004 Florianopolis - Brazil 3×5 Posts	33,526,837