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Old 2003-02-28, 08:28   #1
wackyeh
 
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Default Complete testing of range at ~42 Million

The following range is being worked on in every manner (except ECM)...

41,976,841 - 42,057,331

Currently... All exponents have been trial-factored thru 2^64... and are continuing on thru 2^69...

Many of these esponents have also have P-1 done on them... higher than the standard Prime95 calculated limits...

L-L tests are currently running on a number of these exponents as well...

Due to the memory requirements (384MB)... the number of curves that would need to be tested (300 minimum)... and the time it would take for each curve... ECM is currently not feasible... (maybe when the P7 at 10GHz using SSE6 is around)...

Eric
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Old 2003-02-28, 22:52   #2
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It has come to my attention that there has been interest in doing testing of exponents in the range that was predicted for the first 10 million digit Mersenne prime... of which I had made the "prediction"... a full 16 months before 2^13,466,917 was actually found...

I have reserved the range listed above (41976841 - 42057331) thru George... and have been working on it... since before 2^13,466,917 was discovered... There are currently 15 machines tasked with this range... performing trial-factoring, P-1 and L-L testing... and an additional 6 preparing to start being tasked... Most are high-end machines...

Anybody wishing to trial-factor, P-1 and/or L-L test the larger part of the predicted range (41,564,021 - 41,976,829 and 42,057,373 - 42,516373) is more than welcome to have at it... but as I have posted to the Mersenne mailing list... and the Yahoo list (now defunct)... there are NO guarantees or warranties offered up... Testing is at your own risk... of both success AND failure...

Eric
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Old 2003-03-05, 18:13   #3
Thomas11
 
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I would like to participate the search in that range.
So I will start trial factoring in the lower range (41,564,021 - 41,976,829) up to 2^60 as a first step.
Is that alright?

Thomas.
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Old 2003-03-05, 18:29   #4
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Eric,

I've read your posting at
http://www.mail-archive.com/mersenne@base.com/msg05046.html

Now I have just a few questions:
Is there some information available on the predictid ranges for M#41 and/or M#42?
And what's known about M#44 and higher ones? Is there a prediction on how many Mersenne-Primes will or may be in the GIMPS range up to M79300000?

Thomas. :?
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Old 2003-03-05, 21:59   #5
wackyeh
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Thomas11
I would like to participate the search in that range.
So I will start trial factoring in the lower range (41,564,021 - 41,976,829) up to 2^60 as a first step.
Is that alright?

Thomas.
Fine with me... :-) Nobody else seems to have claimed that range... so have at it... :-)

Eric
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Old 2003-03-05, 22:51   #6
wackyeh
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Thomas11
Eric,

I've read your posting at
http://www.mail-archive.com/mersenne@base.com/msg05046.html

Now I have just a few questions:
Is there some information available on the predictid ranges for M#41 and/or M#42?
And what's known about M#44 and higher ones? Is there a prediction on how many Mersenne-Primes will or may be in the GIMPS range up to M79300000?

Thomas. :?
Thomas,

Wouldn't you know... I can't find my notes on this info... :-( I will have to try and look harder for them.... Just another thing I've lost around here... ;)

Until I do... as my memory serves... there was 44 Mersenne Primes predicted up to 79.3 million... M#41 somewhere around 18 million IIRC... M#42 was just under 10 million digits... at like around 31 million... and M#44 somewhere up at about 56/57 million... IIRC... M#45 was past GIMPS range as like 84 (or 94??) million...

There was also info on M(100 million digits) and M(1 billion digits)... but those were more sticky... and less reliable... because of the lack of sufficient data for exponents over 79.3 million... for complete analysis...

Eric
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Old 2003-03-06, 01:54   #7
trif
 
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None of those estimates takes into account the "clumping" seen in previous Mersenne primes. Are these just estimates given the average distance between primes, or is it a deeper analysis?
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Old 2003-03-06, 02:26   #8
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Well, there's a tight "clump" around 3M, but on the other hand some primes have been very isolated - M127 is slightly less than the fourth root of its successor. I think the "patterns" people may see are mostly just an artifact of the Poisson (sp?) distribution.

Pakaran
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Old 2003-03-07, 02:31   #9
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Below I have a table of all known Mersenne primes with Eric's predicted primes thrown in and M(n)/M(n-1) listed. Given the extreme variability in distance between one prime and the next, doing predictions with the kind of odds Eric believes he can requires being able to predict the outcome of that Poisson-like distribution, that there must be a pattern. However, the five predictions don't show as much variability in the ratio between one prime and the next as the actual series of known primes. The "missing" 11M Mersenne prime would be the closest of the batch (with the present M39), and it's very much on the edge of being a "clump". Only time will tell if hitting the 13M prime was lucky or if there truly is a pattern that allows close targeting of Mersenne primes.

1 2
2 3 1.50
3 5 1.67
4 7 1.40
5 13 1.86
6 17 1.31
7 19 1.12
8 31 1.63
9 61 1.96
10 89 1.45
11 107 1.20
12 127 1.18
13 521 4.10
14 607 1.16
15 1279 2.11
16 2203 1.72
17 2281 1.03
18 3217 1.41
19 4253 1.32
20 4423 1.03
21 9689 2.19
22 9941 1.02
23 11213 1.12
24 19937 1.77
25 21701 1.09
26 23209 1.07
27 44497 1.92
28 86243 1.93
29 110503 1.28
30 132049 1.19
31 216091 1.64
32 756839 3.50
33 859433 1.14
34 1257787 1.46
35 1398269 1.11
36 2976221 2.12
37 3021377 1.02
38 6972593 2.31
11000601 1.58
39? 13466917 1.22
18500000 1.37
31500000 1.70
42017086 1.33
56500000 1.34
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Old 2003-04-11, 11:36   #10
Thomas11
 
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Default range (41,564,021 - 41,976,829) done up to 2^60

My machine has just finished the range 41,564,021 - 41,976,829 up to 60 bit.
A total of 10613 exponents were tested and 340 factors were found.

-- Thomas.
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