A Wise Choice - Page 4

Xyzzy · 2013-03-02, 23:10

chalsall · 2013-03-02, 23:28

Quote:

Originally Posted by Xyzzy

[I'm confused]

It's commonly called the Monty Hall problem.

A counterintuitive truism.

wblipp · 2013-03-03, 15:43

Quote:

Originally Posted by chalsall

It's commonly called the Monty Hall problem.

A counterintuitive truism.

I don't think it was the base problem that confused him. You are throwing around loosely stated alternative scenarios. It matters greatly if you have picked a door first or not. I your ten door scenarios, if you have picked a door, then the host opens 8 of 9, if you have not picked a door, the host opens 8 of 10. That little distinction makes the probability 50-50 or 10-90. But you have to read carefully to realize there are two distinct scenarios being talked about.

Jens K Andersen · 2013-03-04, 01:51

Quote:

Originally Posted by chalsall

It's commonly called the Monty Hall problem.

That Wikipedia article currently has 9.6 MB of talk page discussions. Let's not compete with that here.

davar55 · 2014-08-20, 19:24

Agreed . But why do you suppose this particular issue develops
so much interest? Probably the fact that so many smart people
get it wrong at first. Including math phds and other experts.

The answer is kinda paradoxical and counter-intuitive for most.

WIthout prolonging the discussion, is there any other similarly
seemingly easy/straightforward problem (in math) that might
have a similar impact?

xilman · 2014-08-20, 19:29

Quote:

Originally Posted by davar55

Agreed . But why do you suppose this particular issue develops
so much interest? Probably the fact that so many smart people
get it wrong at first. Including math phds and other experts.

The answer is kinda paradoxical and counter-intuitive for most.

WIthout prolonging the discussion, is there any other similarly
seemingly easy/straightforward problem (in math) that might
have a similar impact?

Non-transitive systems in general?

retina · 2014-08-20, 19:30

http://xkcd.com/1282/

davar55 · 2014-08-20, 20:27

Quote:

Originally Posted by retina

http://xkcd.com/1282/

Loved "Location of black ink in this image".

2014-08-20, 19:30	#40
retina Undefined "The unspeakable one" Jun 2006 My evil lair 6196₁₀ Posts	Goats are cool also http://xkcd.com/1282/

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2013-03-02, 23:10	#34
Xyzzy "Mike" Aug 2002 2⁵×257 Posts

2014-08-20, 19:24	#38
davar55 May 2004 New York City 2×29×73 Posts	Agreed . But why do you suppose this particular issue develops so much interest? Probably the fact that so many smart people get it wrong at first. Including math phds and other experts. The answer is kinda paradoxical and counter-intuitive for most. WIthout prolonging the discussion, is there any other similarly seemingly easy/straightforward problem (in math) that might have a similar impact?