3 years trend

[davieddy]

Originally Posted by petrw1

- Less overall interest with no new primes in over 2 years?

Simply mindless optimism.

David

[Christenson]

Some of us are turning in LL-Ds from GPUs...they don't produce P90-years like the TFs, but they do finish off exponents.....

[petrw1]

Originally Posted by Dubslow

You mean up to 79.3M or whatever it was?

Edit: Any chance to get that as a CSV so we can load it into a spreadsheet?

Yes that is what this thread started with and continues with.

AAYSR: csv is not a supported upload type...you get a faked out csv.

[Dubslow]

Originally Posted by petrw1

Yes that is what this thread started with and continues with.

AAYSR: csv is not a supported upload type...you get a faked out csv.

Thanks. Here's the plot:
That means we'll reach 1,800,000 Double Checked by (I'm pretty sure this number is wrong, because) sometime early 2038.

Also petrw1, consider that the work per test grows exponentially?, so in fact our throughput is increasing exponentially, on par with the workload.

[Uncwilly]

Originally Posted by Dubslow

Edit: Any chance to get that as a CSV so we can load it into a spreadsheet?

Originally Posted by Dubslow

Thanks. Here's the plot:

If you look at the attachment in the follow post, you can see far more info.

Originally Posted by Uncwilly

Here is a compiled list of all the status updates posted here, plus others since.

I have been updating it on a semi-regular basis since then.

[Dubslow]

Originally Posted by Uncwilly

If you look at the attachment in the follow post, you can see far more info.


I have been updating it on a semi-regular basis since then.

Indeed. Take two, with a lot more data points. (Why has it gotten patchy recently?)

Oops, with all the extra data, it's too wide. Try here.

[davieddy]

Originally Posted by garo

Thanks. Well using it once a year is okay then eh?

As the actress said to the bishop

[petrw1]

Year	Pr.#	Factored	Two LL	One LL	Unknown		Expect	P-90 Yrs	Difference	TwoLL Min	OneLL Min
1999	38	1,622,684	102,184	95,493	2,810,514	6.08	43,144,037			
2000	38	2,455,307	137,115	120,011	1,918,442	5.28	28,614,462     14,529,575		
2001	38	2,549,750	172,986	135,744	1,772,395	4.78	27,511,914	1,102,548		
2002	39	2,604,045	204,911	174,748	1,647,170	4.20	26,665,844	  846,070		
2003	39	2,657,598	246,206	213,181	1,513,889	3.66	25,907,845	  757,999		
2004	41	2,710,167	308,062	262,905	1,349,738	3.07	24,737,484	1,170,361		
2005	42	2,738,224	353,153	314,720	1,224,774	2.64	24,026,650	  710,834	11,145,000	16,693,000
2006	43	2,768,958	412,842	348,590	1,100,479	2.27	23,131,200	  895,450	14,001,400	18,000,900
2007	44	2,791,134	460,066	386,008	  993,661	1.97	22,213,533	  917,667	15,639,000	18,816,700
2008	46	2,819,097	489,818	426,544	  895,410	1.75	21,139,962	1,073,571	17,001,269	22,512,443
2009	47	2,855,510	525,350	460,953	  789,056	1.53	19,594,719	1,545,243	18,455,461	27,506,209
2010	47	2,883,917	566,903	484,395	  695,654	1.34	18,003,218	1,591,501	21,065,063	31,494,937
2011	47	2,903,190	619,723	492,951	  615,005	1.17	16,606,994	1,396,224	22,545,883	38,103,407
2012	47	2,924,403	665,932	512,540	  527,994	1.00	14,962,525	1,644,469	25,127,951	43,715,807

[petrw1]

We continue to make more and more progress each year.

[petrw1]

One more ... maybe???

[aketilander]

Originally Posted by petrw1

Expect    P-90 Yrs    Difference
1.00    14,962,525    1,644,469

So with the current speed of 1.644 MegaP-90 Yrs/year it will take 14.963/1.644 = 9.1 years to finish the range to 79.3M and during that time we are expected to find 1.00 new Mersenne Prime.

Have I interpreted the statistics correctly?