3 years trend - Page 3

kar_bon · 2010-10-20, 21:38

Quote:

Originally Posted by Uncwilly

That zip or attachment seems to be broken.

No, all 9 files in the zip are ok.

Uncwilly · 2010-10-20, 21:41

Quote:

Originally Posted by Uncwilly

Archive.org's wayback machine is down right now.

I tried it out again and it seems that it looks at the current site's robot.txt
I am pretty sure that I have seen it up on the site before.

Code:

Year	Pr.#	Factored	Two LL	One LL	Unknown	       Expect	P-90 Yrs	Difference	TwoLL Min	OneLL Min
1999	38	1,622,684	102,184	95,493	2,810,514	6.08	43,144,037			
2000	38	2,455,307	137,115	120,011	1,918,442	5.28	28,614,462	14,529,575		
2001	38	2,549,750	172,986	135,744	1,772,395	4.78	27,511,914	 1,102,548		
2002	39	2,604,045	204,911	174,748	1,647,170	4.20	26,665,844	   846,070		
2003	39	2,657,598	246,206	213,181	1,513,889	3.66	25,907,845	   757,999		
2004	41	2,710,167	308,062	262,905	1,349,738	3.07	24,737,484	 1,170,361		
2005	42	2,738,224	353,153	314,720	1,224,774	2.64	24,026,650	   710,834	11,145,000*	16,693,000*
2006	43	2,768,958	412,842	348,590	1,100,479	2.27	23,131,200	   895,450	14,001,400	18,000,900
2007	44	2,791,134	460,066	386,008	  993,661	1.97	22,213,533	   917,667	15,639,000	18,816,700
2008	46	2,819,097	489,818	426,544	  895,410	1.74	21,139,962	 1,073,571	17,001,269	22,512,443
2009	47	2,855,510	525,350	460,953	  789,056	1.52	19,594,719	 1,545,243	18,455,461	27,506,209

Attached spreadsheet with just these. It seems that there is nothing that encompasses the entire range (upto 79.3) prior to 1999.

Uncwilly · 2010-10-20, 23:40

Quote:

Originally Posted by Uncwilly

That zip or attachment seems to be broken.

[edit]Maybe it is my machine. It says that the file is not found. I can see them listed in the zip though.

They are BZipped. The machine that I was on had a lame zip program. 7zip had no problem.

petrw1 · 2010-10-21, 05:05

Quote:

Originally Posted by Uncwilly

I tried it out again and it seems that it looks at the current site's robot.txt
I am pretty sure that I have seen it up on the site before.

Code:

Year	Pr.#	Factored	Two LL	One LL	Unknown	       Expect	P-90 Yrs	Difference	TwoLL Min	OneLL Min
1999	38	1,622,684	102,184	95,493	2,810,514	6.08	43,144,037			
2000	38	2,455,307	137,115	120,011	1,918,442	5.28	28,614,462	14,529,575		
2001	38	2,549,750	172,986	135,744	1,772,395	4.78	27,511,914	 1,102,548		
2002	39	2,604,045	204,911	174,748	1,647,170	4.20	26,665,844	   846,070		
2003	39	2,657,598	246,206	213,181	1,513,889	3.66	25,907,845	   757,999		
2004	41	2,710,167	308,062	262,905	1,349,738	3.07	24,737,484	 1,170,361		
2005	42	2,738,224	353,153	314,720	1,224,774	2.64	24,026,650	   710,834	11,145,000*	16,693,000*
2006	43	2,768,958	412,842	348,590	1,100,479	2.27	23,131,200	   895,450	14,001,400	18,000,900
2007	44	2,791,134	460,066	386,008	  993,661	1.97	22,213,533	   917,667	15,639,000	18,816,700
2008	46	2,819,097	489,818	426,544	  895,410	1.74	21,139,962	 1,073,571	17,001,269	22,512,443
2009	47	2,855,510	525,350	460,953	  789,056	1.52	19,594,719	 1,545,243	18,455,461	27,506,209

Attached spreadsheet with just these. It seems that there is nothing that encompasses the entire range (upto 79.3) prior to 1999.

There is an odd LARGE jump in the P-90 column from 1999 to 2000

Uncwilly · 2010-10-21, 05:22

Quote:

Originally Posted by petrw1

There is an odd LARGE jump in the P-90 column from 1999 to 2000

I think that it is based upon a recalc by George of the effort required (likely after a new version of Prime95)

markr · 2010-10-21, 07:48

Quote:

Originally Posted by petrw1

There is an odd LARGE jump in the P-90 column from 1999 to 2000

It could be due to the large increase in the number factored, which then didn't need an LL test or two. That probably happened after the increase in range from 20.5M to 79.3M.

petrw1 · 2010-10-25, 17:44

Code:

2010	47	2,883,917	566,903	484,395	695,654	1.342	18,003,218	1,591,501	21,065,063	31,494,937

P.S. All of my last years of history have been Oct 25

Uncwilly · 2010-10-25, 20:53

Quote:

Originally Posted by petrw1

All of my last years of history have been Oct 25

In my spreadsheet, I have the actual dates included, not just the year. And for those that didn't have Oct-25 available I picked up the closest.

davieddy · 2010-10-28, 14:53

Code:

Year    Pr.#   Factored     Two LL     One LL    Unknown      Expect    P-90 Yrs    Difference    TwoLL Min    OneLL Min
 
1999    38    1,622,684    102,184     95,493    2,810,514    6.08    43,144,037            
2000    38    2,455,307    137,115    120,011    1,918,442    5.28    28,614,462    14,529,575        
2001    38    2,549,750    172,986    135,744    1,772,395    4.78    27,511,914     1,102,548        
2002    39    2,604,045    204,911    174,748    1,647,170    4.20    26,665,844       846,070        
2003    39    2,657,598    246,206    213,181    1,513,889    3.66    25,907,845       757,999        
2004    41    2,710,167    308,062    262,905    1,349,738    3.07    24,737,484     1,170,361        
2005    42    2,738,224    353,153    314,720    1,224,774    2.64    24,026,650       710,834    11,145,000    16,693,000
2006    43    2,768,958    412,842    348,590    1,100,479    2.27    23,131,200       895,450    14,001,400    18,000,900
2007    44    2,791,134    460,066    386,008      993,661    1.97    22,213,533       917,667    15,639,000    18,816,700
2008    46    2,819,097    489,818    426,544      895,410    1.747   21,139,962     1,073,571    17,001,269    22,512,443
2009    47    2,855,510    525,350    460,953      789,056    1.528   19,594,719     1,545,243    18,455,461    27,506,209
2010    47    2,883,917    566,903    484,395      695,654    1.342   18,003,218     1,591,501    21,065,063    31,494,937

I hope this is a helpful tidying up/amalgamation of the data presentation.

David

ATH · 2010-10-29, 13:46

Anyone have archive of the classic report from v5 server ( http://mersenne.org/report_classic/ ) from late 2008 when v5 server started until now?

ATH · 2010-10-29, 14:42

I took all those reports posted in this thread and took the total "Factored", "Two LL", "One LL" and "Status Unknown" for each report and made an Excel spreadsheet.

Here is some screenshot of the data, first the rising number of Factored, Two LL, One LL and the falling number of Status Unknown:

GIMPS progress.jpg

Next I for each date I took the difference between the value from the next report minus value from the previous report divided by days between those two. So this is the slope of the secant between previous and next report at each date, as a measure of the rate of change per day of each column.
For the last 2 dates I only took average speed from last to current report, because my last 2 data points is 2years and 3months apart from July 20th 2008 to Oct 20th 2010, so last data point is the average speed since v5 server came online:

GIMPS speed per day.jpg

"First time LLs per day" is approximately the rate of change of "One LL" plus rate of change of Double Checks.

Here is the Excel spreadsheet in Excel 2007 and 2003 format: GIMPS.zip

2010-10-25, 17:44	#29
petrw1 1976 Toyota Corona years forever! "Wayne" Nov 2006 Saskatchewan, Canada 2²×3×17×23 Posts	2010 Oct 25 Numbers Code: 2010 47 2,883,917 566,903 484,395 695,654 1.342 18,003,218 1,591,501 21,065,063 31,494,937 P.S. All of my last years of history have been Oct 25

2010-10-29, 13:46	#32
ATH Einyen Dec 2003 Denmark 3158₁₀ Posts	Anyone have archive of the classic report from v5 server ( http://mersenne.org/report_classic/ ) from late 2008 when v5 server started until now? Last fiddled with by ATH on 2010-10-29 at 13:47

2010-10-29, 14:42	#33
ATH Einyen Dec 2003 Denmark 110001010110₂ Posts	I took all those reports posted in this thread and took the total "Factored", "Two LL", "One LL" and "Status Unknown" for each report and made an Excel spreadsheet. Here is some screenshot of the data, first the rising number of Factored, Two LL, One LL and the falling number of Status Unknown: GIMPS progress.jpg Next I for each date I took the difference between the value from the next report minus value from the previous report divided by days between those two. So this is the slope of the secant between previous and next report at each date, as a measure of the rate of change per day of each column. For the last 2 dates I only took average speed from last to current report, because my last 2 data points is 2years and 3months apart from July 20th 2008 to Oct 20th 2010, so last data point is the average speed since v5 server came online: GIMPS speed per day.jpg "First time LLs per day" is approximately the rate of change of "One LL" plus rate of change of Double Checks. Here is the Excel spreadsheet in Excel 2007 and 2003 format: GIMPS.zip Last fiddled with by ATH on 2010-10-29 at 14:46

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