[quote=MyDogBuster;151599]So everyone has been challenged to finish this BEFORE the fat guy gets stuck in my chimmney again. I read Gary's analysis post and got a headache halfway thru, but all seems plausible barring any unforseen disasters.[/quote]


He he. My estimate posts create headaches for many folks. Math is fun!

My estimates of times to complete ranges at CRUS get even worse. I won't go there. The problem is that people will sometimes reserve 50-100 CPU years of work and won't even realize it thinking that they can complete it in a few months on their single quad! lol

[quote=gd_barnes;151601]He he. My estimate posts create headaches for many folks. Math is fun!

My estimates of times to complete ranges at CRUS get even worse. I won't go there. The problem is that people will sometimes reserve 50-100 CPU years of work and won't even realize it thinking that they can complete it in a few months on their single quad! lol[/quote]
no matter how hard i try i cannot work how you get some of your results from some of your CRUS estimates

[quote=henryzz;151603]no matter how hard i try i cannot work how you get some of your results from some of your CRUS estimates[/quote]


It isn't easy. You have to remember that the testing times vary by the square of the exponent. n=200K takes 4 times as long to test as n=100K. Also, the k's remaining reduce at a reverse logarithmic rate (or a reverse compound-interest rate; not sure what the correct term really is there). That is at n=10K, there might be 48 k's remaining and at n=20K, there might be 36 k's remaining; which means that there is a 25% reduction in k's remaining for each doubling of the n-value. Therefore, the estimate is that you should have 36*.75=27 k's remaining at n=40K.

Since I put some of those estimates up, I realized that there is a slight error in my calculations: The k's remaining do NOT reduce at a reverse logarithmic rate because the average weight of the final few k's is much lower than previous k's. I do not know the proper way to make such an adjustment. Using the above situation with 36 k's remaining at n=20K, it could be that the estimate should be that there should be 29 k's remaining at n=40K but that is only a guess. Still, using the above estimate gives the least amount of time that it SHOULD take. It gives a general idea of the amount of work reserved.


Gary

my 2 cent :-)
last days pairs submitted to all server:
2008-11-25: 13427
2008-11-26: 13809
2008-11-27: 14163
2008-11-28: 15093
2008-11-29: 15169
2008-11-30: 14953

there're about 320,000 pairs remain (in server-pool or not reserved yet).
so with about 15,000 pairs per day we have 21 days left!

[quote]
The problem is that people will sometimes reserve 50-100 CPU years of work and won't even realize it thinking that they can complete it in a few months on their single quad! lol [/quote]

That's why when I start something new, like I just did this week over at CRUS, I ALWAYS start small and build up. That way I know I can finish before the house falls down around me. (Probably caused by the fat guy being stuck in the chimmney).

575.2K-576K is 50 % completed.
I think today I'll receive a quad-core for my work....hehehe

Complete
 

[URL="http://gbarnes017.googlepages.com/NPLB-5780-5781.txt"]578.0-578.1[/URL]
[URL="http://gbarnes017.googlepages.com/NPLB-5781-5782.txt"]578.1-578.2[/URL]
[URL="http://gbarnes017.googlepages.com/NPLB-5782-5783.txt"]578.2-578.3[/URL]
[URL="http://gbarnes017.googlepages.com/NPLB-5783-5784.txt"]578.3-578.4[/URL]
[URL="http://gbarnes017.googlepages.com/NPLB-5784-5785.txt"]578.4-578.5[/URL]

They are done.

/Lennsrt

what pc has Wabbit98 got on port 400
he is only managing 1 or 2 pairs an hour
i would guess he is puting an old amd to use:smile:
[U][/U]

Is it possible to put more work available?

[quote=em99010pepe;151712]Is it possible to put more work available?[/quote]
Okay, I can add more shortly. How much are you specifically interested in? If you're looking for a larger range, I can make a big file of that size for you.

[quote=mdettweiler;151720]Okay, I can add more shortly. How much are you specifically interested in? If you're looking for a larger range, I can make a big file of that size for you.[/quote]
Okay, I've added another n=1K worth of work (10 files). :smile: