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[QUOTE=kracker;342139]It would be nice, if there was a graph for Dc and LL, along with P-1 in the monthly, weekly graphs, etc.:smile:[/QUOTE]
Sorry [URL="https://www.gpu72.com/graphs/lldc/year/"]this new graph[/URL] took seven months longer than promised (ironically, only took an hour to implement; needed to get away from "real work" for a little while)... At the bottom of all the [URL="https://www.gpu72.com/reports/overall/graph/month/"]overall graphs pages[/URL]. |
[QUOTE=chalsall;365432]Sorry [URL="https://www.gpu72.com/graphs/lldc/year/"]this new graph[/URL] took seven months longer than promised (ironically, only took an hour to implement; needed to get away from "real work" for a little while)...
At the bottom of all the [URL="https://www.gpu72.com/reports/overall/graph/month/"]overall graphs pages[/URL].[/QUOTE] Thank you! :smile: :bow: EDIT: And I know you're the main in DC on that graph... :razz: |
I just hit a dry spell; none of the 100 DC TF exponents I just finished testing a single factor between 68 and 71 bits. It seems luck wasn't on my side this time. :sad:
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[QUOTE=chalsall;365432]Sorry [URL="https://www.gpu72.com/graphs/lldc/year/"]this new graph[/URL] took seven months longer than promised (ironically, only took an hour to implement; needed to get away from "real work" for a little while)...
At the bottom of all the [URL="https://www.gpu72.com/reports/overall/graph/month/"]overall graphs pages[/URL].[/QUOTE] What ranges are those graphs for? Pulling data ~weekly from the Classic GIMPS status page[SIZE="2"][SUP]TM[/SUP][/SIZE], I have been seeing changes of ~100-150 per day for the TwoLL column and ~190->115 in the OneLL column. The attached graph has the rate of change in #/day on the left, P90 years on right. The data are taken ~168 hours (plus minus 8 hours) apart. |
[QUOTE=ixfd64;365450]I just hit a dry spell; none of the 100 DC TF exponents I just finished testing a single factor between 68 and 71 bits. It seems luck wasn't on my side this time. :sad:[/QUOTE]
This is quite a statistical anomalie, isn't it? Should have found 4. Could it be that P1 found most of them? |
[QUOTE=petrw1;365470]This is quite a statistical anomalie, isn't it? Should have found 4.
Could it be that P1 found most of them?[/QUOTE] It happens quite often: I have a boxxen doing 65->66 bits for 317-319M range, 1 factor out of 308 reported thus far, found after 249 unsuccessful attempts. I "should" have a good 4.7, but remember- probability has no memory... |
[QUOTE=ixfd64;365450]I just hit a dry spell; none of the 100 DC TF exponents I just finished testing a single factor between 68 and 71 bits. It seems luck wasn't on my side this time. :sad:[/QUOTE]
Using LaurV's logic you are unlucky so you should stop doing any TF.:davieddy: While you have been unlucky the chance of not finding a single factor in 300 trials is ~1.3% if no P-1 is done and ~5% if P-1 is done. So it does happen once in a while. |
[QUOTE=garo;365495]Using LaurV's logic you are unlucky [/QUOTE]
no, it is just that the Luck is in my area now, and I did efforts to tie him on the tree in front of my window. I will release him now, so other poor guys can find some factors too, and so we won't lose them from the project... :smile: |
If you want to find a lot of factors, head over to [URL="http://www.mersenne.ca/"]James' site[/URL] and do some trial factoring > 1000M. You will find a factor about every minute...though no credit is given for work less than 2[SUP]70[/SUP]
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What is the odds for ten consecutive factorisations? I had the pleasure of experience it once when running the smallest unreserved candidates in 87M... :fusion:
[CODE]Manual testing 87159607 F 2013-10-31 01:23 0.0 118248780529848276167 0.2861 Manual testing 87159043 F 2013-10-31 01:23 0.0 79623647161085679929 0.1883 Manual testing 87158009 F 2013-10-31 01:23 0.0 116601936487970901887 0.2826 Manual testing 87152669 F 2013-10-31 01:23 0.0 93398301198481141913 0.2278 Manual testing 87147239 F 2013-10-31 01:23 0.0 121514141280299682623 0.2929 Manual testing 87146783 F 2013-10-31 01:23 0.0 106194288573916474753 0.2595 Manual testing 87098653 F 2013-10-31 01:23 0.0 131304203500302387847 0.3122 Manual testing 87084973 F 2013-10-31 01:23 0.0 87337664541318196823 0.2113 Manual testing 87081901 F 2013-10-31 01:23 0.0 87871100901379849463 0.2128 Manual testing 87077693 F 2013-10-31 01:23 0.0 116960802185084904127 0.2837[/CODE]My only explanation is that someone must have saved the factorizations for one massive submission or missed them all together. They must have timed out just before I grabbed them. Ps, I know the probabbility, somewhere close to 0.015^10 = 0.58*10^-20 so someone set me up or <deity> has a sick sense of humor. Göran |
The "phenomenon" is quite common, and it happens to any of us who do TF in bunch, at least is happening to me every time when I submit :smile:. It is due to the fact that - when you submit a long list of factorization results - the server (PrimeNet) is "sorting" the list, taking the NF results first, then it goes again through the list taking the F results second. Therefore, if you have 100 factors in your list, they will appear "consecutively" in your results report, but the exponents themselves are *[B]not[/B]* consecutive (look and see!). So, no magic.
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