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Dubslow 2012-04-30 00:16

[QUOTE=Uncwilly;297917]For what it is worth, in the last 2 weeks, that number has stepped up 2 times. It is now 24,212,801[/QUOTE]

Sweet! Were they poached? :unsure:
Edit: Yep, the first one was poached. :cry:
Edit2: Here's the list of assignments below the current minimum.
[code]
24052939 D 308 8 2012-05-08 2012-04-25 2012-04-24 2011-06-27 samaelss ucebna2
24077267 D LL, 16.50% 745 20 2012-05-20 2012-04-28 2012-04-27 2010-04-16 ANONYMOUS
24090211 D LL, 28.30% 11 9 2012-05-09 2012-04-28 2012-04-27 2012-04-19 Aldo_Grid Moreno_1
24173323 D LL, 46.10% 728 20 2012-05-20 2012-04-29 2012-04-28 2010-05-03 Team_Italia ottapg
24186653 D LL, 18.80% 419 14 2012-05-14 2012-04-29 2012-04-28 2011-03-08 Moomoomoo1 Cody
24194603 D LL, 72.00% 540 8 2012-05-08 2012-04-27 2012-04-26 2010-11-07 mflannery88222 Laptop
24205397 D LL, 70.20% 598 325 2013-03-21 2012-04-29 2012-04-28 2010-09-10 dmbeeson
24205409 D LL, 71.20% 598 313 2013-03-09 2012-04-29 2012-04-28 2010-09-10 dmbeeson
24205553 D LL, 73.00% 598 294 2013-02-18 2012-04-29 2012-04-28 2010-09-10 dmbeeson
24207217 D LL, 70.60% 598 320 2013-03-16 2012-04-29 2012-04-28 2010-09-10 dmbeeson [/code]
Yeah, the other one was a poach too, and the assignment is only 11 days old :rant:
[url]http://mersenne.org/report_exponent/?exp_lo=24090211&exp_hi=&B1=Get+status[/url]
"Sergey Nosov", in both cases.

LaurV 2012-04-30 02:02

I think the smallest one of them, about an year old and the work not yet started, that one was poached by myself two or three months ago. The assignee did not start the job yet, nor to this date. I don't give a dime, he had enough time to check and get it out from his list.

Fierce LaurV

:smile:

bcp19 2012-04-30 03:06

[QUOTE=Dubslow;297926]Sweet! Were they poached? :unsure:
Edit: Yep, the first one was poached. :cry:
Edit2: Here's the list of assignments below the current minimum.
Yeah, the other one was a poach too, and the assignment is only 11 days old :rant:
[URL]http://mersenne.org/report_exponent/?exp_lo=24090211&exp_hi=&B1=Get+status[/URL]
"Sergey Nosov", in both cases.[/QUOTE]

You're missing a bit of data though, that exponent had been assigned to Anonymous over a year and a half ago, who reported it 96.8% complete on 4/9, and completed it with a bad result on 4/19. It is likely it was 'poached'(started) quite a while before it was reassigned.

Dubslow 2012-04-30 03:17

[QUOTE=bcp19;297945]You're missing a bit of data though, that exponent had been assigned to Anonymous over a year and a half ago, who reported it 96.8% complete on 4/9, and completed it with a bad result on 4/19. It is likely it was 'poached'(started) quite a while before it was reassigned.[/QUOTE]Uncwilly said it went up twice in the last week, that means it was done recently; and if you look at the exponent status page, you can see that the "11 day old assignment" I was referring to was the one that was handed out after the bad result was turned in. The only way I could see would be if the poacher started before the ANON/bad was turned in, but even then he shouldn't be poaching.

bcp19 2012-04-30 03:50

[QUOTE=Dubslow;297946]Uncwilly said it went up twice in the last week, that means it was done recently; and if you look at the exponent status page, you can see that the "11 day old assignment" I was referring to was the one that was handed out after the bad result was turned in. The only way I could see would be if the poacher started before the ANON/bad was turned in, but even then he shouldn't be poaching.[/QUOTE]

I agree, I was only pointing out that people feel less 'stigma' over poaching a year and a half aged exponent, where you made it a point to say it was only 11 days old. Since a new system would take 4-10 days for a DC(2-5 for OC'd ones) and an older one up to 20+, this assignment was probably grabbed quite a while before ANON finished it, but was not quick enough to beat it. EDIT: Kind of like the other one, which was 6 months older and also held by a ANON.

petrw1 2012-05-08 15:10

11 days later
 
[QUOTE=petrw1;297604]But I'm not holding my breath for the last. There were 12 under 40M last fall and still 9. Some details missing below to protect the innocent (not me).

[CODE]
Stage, % age to go Completion Next Updated Assigned
S2 596 23 5/20/2012 4/28/2012 4/27/2012 9/9/2010
LL, 55.60% 1045 42 6/8/2012 4/26/2012 4/25/2012 6/17/2009
LL, 74.80% 801 -723 5/5/2010 6/5/2012 4/1/2012 2/16/2010
LL, 71.80% 668 49 6/15/2012 4/28/2012 4/27/2012 6/29/2010
LL, 70.90% 668 50 6/16/2012 4/28/2012 4/27/2012 6/29/2010
LL, 73.10% 668 47 6/13/2012 4/28/2012 4/27/2012 6/29/2010
LL, 72.40% 668 48 6/14/2012 4/28/2012 4/27/2012 6/29/2010
10 43 6/9/2012 5/2/2012 4/25/2012 4/17/2012
LL, 58.70% 1104 426 6/27/2013 4/26/2012 4/25/2012 4/19/2009[/CODE][/QUOTE]

For the first 7: Stage,% did NOT change.
Second last reassigned and up to 40.10% - estimated 21 days to go
Last one up by 0.10%
Only the third one did NOT post an update.

c10ck3r 2012-05-16 13:34

Less than 23,000,000 exponents remain with no known factors :)
Edit: Below 1B

petrw1 2012-05-16 15:33

[QUOTE=c10ck3r;299613]Less than 23,000,000 exponents remain with no known factors :)
Edit: Below 1B[/QUOTE]

At this rate we'll be done in no time :loco:

alpertron 2012-05-16 17:21

[QUOTE=petrw1;299619]At this rate we'll be done in no time :loco:[/QUOTE]

I do not think so. According to the [URL="http://www.mersenne.info"]GIMPS Visualization Tool[/URL], six months ago there were 23,103,491 exponents whose Mersenne numbers were not factored.

c10ck3r 2012-05-16 21:05

[QUOTE=alpertron;299630]I do not think so. According to the [URL="http://www.mersenne.info"]GIMPS Visualization Tool[/URL], six months ago there were 23,103,491 exponents whose Mersenne numbers were not factored.[/QUOTE]

Master Petrw1 understands this. He was calling me crazy :drama:
However, I was just pointing out that out of ~55M candidates, ~32M have factors known, eliminating ~55% of the possible prime candidates. LL testing has further reduced this, but I dont have the stats for that.

bcp19 2012-05-16 21:11

[QUOTE=c10ck3r;299647]Master Petrw1 understands this. He was calling me crazy :drama:
However, I was just pointing out that out of ~55M candidates, ~32M have factors known, eliminating ~55% of the possible prime candidates. LL testing has further reduced this, but I dont have the stats for that.[/QUOTE]
If we maintain 6 months for 100k exp's we only have 115 years to go ;)


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