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[QUOTE=Uncwilly;512353]Since the assignment rules change, I believe that the rate of ticking off milestones for the DC's has gone up. I don't have the data at hand. I will have to look at it when I get to the machine that the data live on.[/QUOTE]
I think there are enough data points here to do a little ciphering. Compare the successive dates of First Time Checks Verification Milestones. [url]https://www.mersenne.org/report_milestones/[/url] |
[QUOTE=Uncwilly;512353]Since the assignment rules change, I believe that the rate of ticking off milestones for the DC's has gone up. I don't have the data at hand. I will have to look at it when I get to the machine that the data live on.[/QUOTE]A very-long-term average I did some time ago of DC progress rate was 3.3M/year on exponent value, over something like a 6-year average. That figure, plus projections based on it, and detailed tabulation and graphing with fits, of the historical minor milestone data for GIMPS, are available at [URL]https://www.mersenneforum.org/showpost.php?p=502995&postcount=11[/URL]
The past few years the DC milestone progress has been around 4M/year. I just went through a DC-per-gpu assignment cycle in February. I encourage everyone doing gpu GIMPS computing of any sort to do a DC assignment per gpu, or run memory tests on gpus, or application self test, or all such reliability tests, annually or semiannually. |
Verification Milestones prediction
Hi guys,
I expect that ll tests below 47 mio will be verified on 21 April 2019 ±45 days 48 mio -- on 19 July 2019 ±45 days 49 mio -- on 14 October 2019 ±45 days 50 mio -- on 07 January 2020 ±45 days. [url]https://www.mersenne.org/report_milestones/[/url] |
47M DC milestone ETA ~April 9 (-0 / +10 days)
[url]https://www.mersenne.org/assignments/?exp_lo=46753351&exp_hi=47000000&execm=1&exp1=1&extf=1&exfirst=1[/url]
6 left; ETA for the last one is 6 days from now, April 9. |
All "Hidden Number" related posts moved to new thread.
[url]https://www.mersenneforum.org/showthread.php?t=24256[/url] |
2 left; Apr 8 projected
[QUOTE=kriesel;512536][URL]https://www.mersenne.org/assignments/?exp_lo=46753351&exp_hi=47000000&execm=1&exp1=1&extf=1&exfirst=1[/URL]
6 left; ETA for the last one is 6 days from now, April 9.[/QUOTE] Beating the previous primenet projection. |
[QUOTE=kriesel;512644]Beating the previous primenet projection.[/QUOTE]
Yes! This milestone seems to be picture perfect. Almost no poaching and most of the exponents of the last 27 remaining on March 23rd have been finished by their present (at that time) assignees.:smile: |
47M DC milestone imminent
1 exponent to go, projected completion today April 7
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[QUOTE=kriesel;512965]1 exponent to go, projected completion today April 7[/QUOTE]
[SIZE="3"]Ces't fini.[/SIZE] Remaining to 50 Million 17,030 [QUOTE]GIMPS status The page provides a "classic" summary of the search status for Mersenne numbers with exponents below 79,300,000. [SIZE="2"] Low High Numbers Primes Factored TwoLL OneLL 0 40,250,000 2,447,902 45 1,610,172 837,685 0 0 0 0 — Various 40,250,000 [COLOR="Red"]50,000,000[/COLOR] 553,232 2 356,640 179,560 [COLOR="Red"]17,030[/COLOR] 0 0.001 0 1.640 2560 [/SIZE][/quote] |
Countdown to first time checking all exponents below M(86 028 121) (5,000,000th prime exponent): 3605
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[QUOTE=ATH;513006]Countdown to first time checking all exponents below M(86 028 121) (5,000,000th prime exponent): 3605[/QUOTE]
How do you figure that number? (not the 5,000,000th prime exponents but the 3605 count.) |
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