[QUOTE=rudy235;461591]So, just about 3-1/2 month after the 71,000,000 milestone, we are about to get to the 72 million.

[URL="https://www.mersenne.org/assignments/?exp_lo=71770529&exp_hi=72000000&execm=1&exp1=1&extf=1&exdchk=1"]http://https://www.mersenne.org/assignments/?exp_lo=71770529&exp_hi=72000000&execm=1&exp1=1&extf=1&exdchk=1[/URL][/QUOTE]

Yeah, and we'd be further along on the next one as well except the user Xolotl had a range of those in the 72M range checked out but seems to have let them all sit a while and they've been expiring the past few days. Oh well... they're cat0 now so they should hopefully get picked up by machines that will finish quick.

[QUOTE=Madpoo;461606]Yeah, and we'd be further along on the next one as well except the user Xolotl had a range of those in the 72M range checked out but seems to have let them all sit a while and they've been expiring the past few days. Oh well... they're cat0 now so they should hopefully get picked up by machines that will finish quick.[/QUOTE]

Lame... I checked the last 5 in the <72M countdown and 4 of the 5 probably won't finish before they expire. I could be wrong, they could pick up some steam, but they're poking along at a snails pace. One of them hasn't even checked in for 12 days.

The only one I think will be okay is M71907713.

Here are my projections for those 4:
[CODE]exponent Expiry DaysToGo
71770529 2 31.9
71892109 14 18.0
71913659 19 54.4
71963201 23 110.6[/CODE]

(Note: this isn't an encouragement to poach... they'll expire and get reassigned, hopefully by someone who finishes quick, and these assignments will crawl across later and be a double-check)

so.. if not poached 71963201 will take about a month to be completed.. sheesh!

[QUOTE=rudy235;461737]so.. if not poached 71963201 will take about a month to be completed.. sheesh![/QUOTE]

Updated:
[CODE]exponent Expiry DaysToGo
71770529 0 33.0
71892109 12 18.9
71907713 15 5.2
71913659 17 52.8
71963201 21 116.9[/CODE]

I included 71907713 to show that I'm projecting it's completion later than it's self-reported value (2 days).

[QUOTE=Madpoo;461825]Updated:
[CODE]exponent Expiry DaysToGo
71770529 0 33.0
71892109 12 18.9
71907713 15 5.2
71913659 17 52.8
71963201 21 116.9[/CODE]

I included 71907713 to show that I'm projecting it's completion later than it's self-reported value (2 days).[/QUOTE]

They seem to be almost going backwards!

[QUOTE=rudy235;461827]They seem to be almost going backwards![/QUOTE]

I would be very impressed if you work out how to go backwards in a LL test efficiently.

[QUOTE=henryzz;461911]I would be very impressed if you work out how to go backwards in a LL test efficiently.[/QUOTE]
[SIZE="3"]
ok, I'll bite.:cat:[/SIZE]

They were, lets say, supposed to end in according to Madpoo like this

Here are my projections for those 4:
[CODE]exponent Expiry DaysToGo
71770529 2 31.9
71892109 14 18.0
71913659 19 54.4
71963201 23 110.6[/CODE]

Now 1 day and 14 hours later (1.6 days) they are looking like this:

Updated:

[CODE]exponent Expiry DaysToGo
71770529 0 33.0
71892109 12 18.9

71913659 17 52.8
71963201 21 116.9[/CODE]

So 3 of the 4 exponents are getting further away from completion.
The other one is advancing but barely: 1.6 days. But that 1.6 days is the 1.6 days interval between the posts, so it is static.

One of the five still pending 71770529 got reassigned and that is good news because I believe this new user will actually finish [URL="https://www.mersenne.org/report_exponent/?exp_lo=71770529&full=1"]on time.[/URL]

[QUOTE=rudy235;461921]One of the five still pending 71770529 got reassigned and that is good news because I believe this new user will actually finish [URL="https://www.mersenne.org/report_exponent/?exp_lo=71770529&full=1"]on time.[/URL][/QUOTE]

Yes, ETA is 46 hours.

[QUOTE=rudy235;461914]...
Now 1 day and 14 hours later (1.6 days) they are looking like this:
...
So 3 of the 4 exponents are getting further away from completion.
The other one is advancing but barely: 1.6 days. But that 1.6 days is the 1.6 days interval between the posts, so it is static.[/QUOTE]

It's because progress on those assignments has significantly slowed (or halted, even though a couple are still reporting in each day, but with zero progress made).

That has the effect of making their "% per day" calculation go down, thus extending how long it'll take to finish at that estimated daily rate.

In the case of M71913659 it hasn't updated since June 9. My calculations only take intervals between updates to calculate the daily average... if they don't update, their daily average remains the same but without any progress made at all, the "days to complete" will actually go down with the expectation that it's still calculating but not reporting in. Which probably isn't true in many cases. :smile:

For those other ones, if they check in day after day and haven't made any progress at all from one to the next, their daily average starts to plummet and the "days to complete" will rise and rise...

Here's the latest on the 3 slow pokes:
[CODE]exponent Points RealEta Expiry DaysToGo
71892109 75 2017-07-14 17:24 10 19.7
71913659 54 2017-08-15 00:05 14 51.0
71963201 45 2017-10-23 16:47 19 120.6[/CODE]

Some info on each of those:[LIST][*]M71892109 has been stuck at 78.9% since April 15 and it's current daily avg is 1.0398[*]M71913659 has been stuck at 48.6% since April 20 and it's current daily avg is 0.7741[*]M71963201 is currently at 38.5% and it reports in about every 2 days and lately it only progresses about 1% every 3-4 days (most days it reports zero progress made). Funny, because it started out strong and a couple times it progressed 6% in a single day. But mostly it just putters along. It's current daily avg is 0.5079[/LIST]
These machines clearly should not be doing cat 0 work, but at this point they wouldn't qualify for the lower categories because they're not turning in sufficient GHz/day and they'll have some recent expirations once these actually hit that point.

[QUOTE=Madpoo;461999]

These machines clearly should not be doing cat 0 work, but at this point they wouldn't qualify for the lower categories because they're not turning in sufficient GHz/day and they'll have some recent expirations once these actually hit that point.[/QUOTE]

All of them (except for [URL="https://www.mersenne.org/report_exponent/?exp_lo=71770529&full=1"]71770529[/URL]) and [URL="https://www.mersenne.org/report_exponent/?exp_lo=71907713&full=1"]71907713[/URL] are not going to finish in their allotted times. And that means best case scenario (barring poaches) about 28 days from now.