[QUOTE=ATH;400497]The last one at 98.70% I'm not sure of.[/QUOTE]

I have a hunch that that one may just finish up in time...

M55861261 is currently showing a "real ETA" of 2015-07-20 based on it's tracked progress of 0.01411881583818 % per day for the 7.08 days between it's first and last checkin since I started tracking. (it went from 98.6% to 98.7% in that timeframe).

It's a lousy rate of progress, but given that it only has 1.3% to go that's just another 92 days. It'll be a squeaker but it just might stay ahead of the reaper by a nose.

[QUOTE=Madpoo;400514]I have a hunch that that one may just finish up in time...

M55861261 is currently showing a "real ETA" of 2015-07-20 based on it's tracked progress of 0.01411881583818 % per day for the 7.08 days between it's first and last checkin since I started tracking. (it went from 98.6% to 98.7% in that timeframe).

It's a lousy rate of progress, but given that it only has 1.3% to go that's just another 92 days. It'll be a squeaker but it just might stay ahead of the reaper by a nose.[/QUOTE]

It's gone up at least 0.4% this month and up 0.8% since March 26. My projection for it has finishing in 25 days (May 15). But that user needs to pick up the pace on M55771997 to finish it before expiring, by my projections.

[QUOTE=cuBerBruce;400518]It's gone up at least 0.4% this month and up 0.8% since March 26. My projection for it has finishing in 25 days (May 15). But that user needs to pick up the pace on M55771997 to finish it before expiring, by my projections.[/QUOTE]

Here's a recent projection:
[CODE]exponent RealEta
54674791 2016-03-17 20:18:11.823
54759797 2016-03-26 00:59:11.540
55027163 2015-08-29 14:48:46.150
55059383 2015-08-28 10:50:46.320
55079077 2015-08-31 04:16:46.487
55771997 2017-05-29 10:47:20.980
55861261 2015-06-29 19:30:21.417[/CODE]

Those first 2 in the 54M range haven't updated since April 15, so...

54357769 has checked in a few times since I started logging the progress, but I have no projected ETA for it because in the 10 day interval I have for it (3 check ins) it hasn't moved a single tick from 97.8% done. I have no idea of how fast it's going except at the rate of 0% per day it will never finish. :smile:

[QUOTE=Madpoo;400888]54357769 has checked in a few times since I started logging the progress, but I have no projected ETA for it because in the 10 day interval I have for it (3 check ins) it hasn't moved a single tick from 97.8% done. I have no idea of how fast it's going except at the rate of 0% per day it will never finish. :smile:[/QUOTE]

Well, M54357769 has now gone up another "tick." (By a "tick," I mean a tenth of a percentage point - the amount of resolution that Active Assignments page will show, it appears.) It's been at least two weeks since reported progress on this one went up a tick. It needs to go up a tick every two days (approximately), or else the user is only going to get credit for it as a double-check, at best. (I note Madpoo has indicated he's already completed a "double-check" on it without reporting it, so as to allow the current assignee a chance to get the "first LL" credit that he/she should be allowed to get.) This assignment is so far along, and yet the user lately seems to have a lack of intention of finishing it before it expires.

I note also that 55027163, 55059383, and 55079077 have each had another little burst of progress. This should have some impact on Madpoo's "real ETA" figures.

[QUOTE=cuBerBruce;400982]Well, M54357769 has now gone up another "tick." (By a "tick," I mean a tenth of a percentage point - the amount of resolution that Active Assignments page will show, it appears.) It's been at least two weeks since reported progress on this one went up a tick. It needs to go up a tick every two days (approximately), or else the user is only going to get credit for it as a double-check, at best. (I note Madpoo has indicated he's already completed a "double-check" on it without reporting it, so as to allow the current assignee a chance to get the "first LL" credit that he/she should be allowed to get.) This assignment is so far along, and yet the user lately seems to have a lack of intention of finishing it before it expires.

I note also that 55027163, 55059383, and 55079077 have each had another little burst of progress. This should have some impact on Madpoo's "real ETA" figures.[/QUOTE]

Ah... now that M54357769 has actually gone up by at least 0.1% I was able to make a prediction: 2016-02-09

That's based on working at a rate of 0.1 % over an observed 13.755 days, or 0.00727 % per day. :)

All 3 of those 54M exponents aren't predicted to complete any time this year. More like Feb/March of 2016.

Out of the 55M exponents, 4 of the 5 *should* finish up in July, and 55771997 might finish around 2017-10-23 (of course it would expire first).

Completing "Classical" GIMPS
 

Per the attached "classic colorful stats" report, less than 8M P-90 CPU years remain in the countdown to completing a first-time check of all candidates in the "classical" GIMPS space (exponents [I]p[/I] < 79.3M). This is equivalent to 40.6M GHz-days, or just over eleven months of computing time at GIMPS' recent 30-day sustained throughput of 239 TFLOP/s (119,500 GHz-days/day).

Does anybody want to take a shot at [url=http://www.mersenne.org/report_exponent/?exp_lo=79299719&full=1]79299719[/url]?

[QUOTE=TObject;401144]Does anybody want to take a shot at [url=http://www.mersenne.org/report_exponent/?exp_lo=79299719&full=1]79299719[/url]?[/QUOTE]

Sure, why not. I might as well actually do some LL on occasion lol

[QUOTE=Mark Rose;401147]Sure, why not. I might as well actually do some LL on occasion lol[/QUOTE]

I hope the 4th time is the charm. Holler if it needs a 5th check. :smile:

[QUOTE=Madpoo;401166]I hope the 4th time is the charm. Holler if it needs a 5th check. :smile:[/QUOTE]

I'm running it on an EC2 instance with a few extra cores with absolutely nothing else to do. It says it'll take about three weeks.

[QUOTE=Mark Rose;401176]I'm running it on an EC2 instance with a few extra cores with absolutely nothing else to do. It says it'll take about three weeks.[/QUOTE]

Please let us know who's residue you match with (presuming you do). I don't know why I'm listed as one of the attempts -- it didn't pass through the GPU72 proxy....