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-   -   Predict M48... (https://www.mersenneforum.org/showthread.php?t=12001)

chalsall 2013-01-24 02:02

[QUOTE=davieddy;325621]Nope[/QUOTE]

Please expand.

davieddy 2013-01-24 02:40

[QUOTE=chalsall;325624]Please expand.[/QUOTE]
1) MPs get thinner on the ground as they get higher (like all primes).
2) The amount of trial factoring affects it
3) I thought GPUto72 had something to do with this.

D

ET_ 2013-01-24 07:14

[QUOTE=davieddy;325629]1) MPs get thinner on the ground as they get higher (like all primes).
2) The amount of trial factoring affects it
3) I thought GPUto72 had something to do with this.

D[/QUOTE]

Flipping a coin...
:jokedrum:

LaurV 2013-01-24 07:45

[QUOTE=chalsall;325624]
[QUOTE=davieddy]
[I]Nope[/I]
[/QUOTE]
Please expand.[/QUOTE]

[code] N o p e [/code]

:smile:

chalsall 2013-01-24 20:41

[QUOTE=davieddy;325629]1) MPs get thinner on the ground as they get higher (like all primes).[/QUOTE]

Ah, stupid me. Of course...

That also explains why you're constantly lobbying to have low exponents be left to you personally.... :razz:

davieddy 2013-01-25 00:18

[QUOTE=ET_;325651]Flipping a coin...
:jokedrum:[/QUOTE]
Many words are spoken in jest.

Few of us cognoscenti around here doubt that GIMPS has had a lucky streak
How lucky?
7 "small" gaps in a row is like 7 "heads" in coin tossing.

D

davieddy 2013-01-25 00:57

[QUOTE=chalsall;325700]Ah, stupid me. Of course...

That also explains why you're constantly lobbying to have low exponents be left to you personally.... :razz:[/QUOTE]
Yep

davieddy 2013-01-25 20:05

[QUOTE=chalsall;325619]Does not every untested candidate have the same chance of being a MP as every other untested candidate?[/QUOTE]

[QUOTE=davieddy;325629]1) MPs get thinner on the ground as they get higher (like all primes).
2) The amount of trial factoring affects it[/QUOTE]
It os worth noting that the increasing probability of individual candidates is compensated for by the number of factors found. So the "expected number" is unaffected.

For further elucidation, I recommend William Blipp, or (if you are deperate) Ernst Mayer.

D

Uncwilly 2013-01-26 02:27

A prime has been reported and George is happy so far.
[SIZE="3"][COLOR="Red"][FONT="Arial Black"]All guessing is temporarily prohibited.[/FONT][/COLOR][/SIZE]

c10ck3r 2013-01-26 03:17

[QUOTE=Uncwilly;325892]A prime has been reported and George is happy so far.
[SIZE=3][COLOR=Red][FONT=Arial Black]All guessing is temporarily prohibited.[/FONT][/COLOR][/SIZE][/QUOTE]

This better not be a sick joke!

Uncwilly 2013-01-26 03:19

[QUOTE=c10ck3r;325901]This better not be a sick joke![/QUOTE]

qv: [url]http://mersenneforum.org/showthread.php?t=17704[/url]


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