[QUOTE=Dubslow;273258]This had also occurred to me after my previous post... and is very good motivation for speeding up the DC's. Otherwise we'll never find it!![/QUOTE]

If that's Washington DCs, I would recommend a sedative or two.

David

[QUOTE=davieddy;273260]If that's Washington DCs, I would recommend a sedative or two.

David[/QUOTE]

More like an enema...or maybe a series thereof.

Argument
 

[QUOTE=NBtarheel_33;273259]Not really; it's not like I'm making a claim about the distribution of primes. Just saying that one day, we might miss one on the first go-around, and that we'll catch it on the double-check. If hardware errors can cause a non-zero residue to be corrupted to zeroes, I'm sure the other way around could very easily happen, as well.[/QUOTE]
[url=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kQFKtI6gn9Y]Asking for it[/url]

David

PS you will need to specify a time limit on your suggestion to
get me interested in a wager.

[QUOTE=NBtarheel_33;273261]More like an enema...or maybe a series thereof.[/QUOTE]

:smile:

Don't tempt me!

[QUOTE=davieddy;271364]2011-09-10 1.195

Decrease 0.026 in 57 days

Expect next Mprime in 2192 days.[/QUOTE]

2011-10-16
Expected new primes < 79.3M 1.177
Decrease 0.018 in 36 days.

Expected time before next prime 2000 days.

[QUOTE=Uncwilly;271155]There are 19 days left until we match the longest gap in the GIMPS era. And 42 days from hitting the average gap + 2 std dev.
axn has our next closest (non-expired) guess 10/1/2011[/QUOTE]Well, we are now sitting on average gap plus 2 std dev.
XYYXF guessed 11/1/2011
Christenson guessed 11/11/2011 (on 6/27/2011)

Insert PhilF avatar.

[QUOTE=davieddy;274741]2011-10-16
Expected new primes < 79.3M 1.177
Decrease 0.018 in 36 days.

Expected time before next prime 2000 days.[/QUOTE]
2011-12-20
Expected new primes < 79.3M 1.149
Decrease 0.028 in 65 days.

Expected time before next prime 2320 days.

What's 79.3M? And why the increase in time?

[QUOTE=Dubslow;282977]What's 79.3M? And why the increase in time?[/QUOTE][URL="http://mersenne.org/report_classic/"]Classic Summary[/URL].

Failure to keep the 1st time LL effort increasing by the necessary (and feasible) 20% per year?

Hence my crusade:smile:
David

[QUOTE=Dubslow;282977]What's 79.3M?[/QUOTE]qv. [url]http://mersennewiki.org/index.php/79.3_million[/url]

[QUOTE=Uncwilly;275137]Well, we are now sitting on average gap plus 2 std dev.
XYYXF guessed 11/1/2011
Christenson guessed 11/11/2011 (on 6/27/2011)[/QUOTE]
Since then we have also passed these guesses:
davar55 12/31/2011 (on 12/25/2010)
davieddy 1/1/2012

1/7/12 marks a nice round 1000 days since the last prime.

petrw1 guessed 55,555,543 would drop on 5/5/2012
[YOUTUBE]angi1vwUkQc[/YOUTUBE]