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-   -   Predict M48... (https://www.mersenneforum.org/showthread.php?t=12001)

10metreh 2009-06-06 18:45

Predict M48...
 
Well, we don't know "M47" is prime, but we have strong evidence for it, so it's time to have a guess at M48. My guess: about 59M, January 2011. :curtisc:

(Mods: Feel free to delete this thread if "M47" turns out not to be prime.)

XYYXF 2009-06-06 20:18

88M, Nov 2011.

Primeinator 2009-06-06 22:50

In the neighborhood of 47.3M.

Uncwilly 2009-06-07 00:07

332,192,831 Feb 12, 2011

davieddy 2009-06-07 01:02

[quote=Uncwilly;176271]332,192,831 Feb 12, 2011[/quote]
Thought you had already posted a poll on this topic.
My vote was sometime after 2025 (Assuming us or our progeny
ever live to see it)

Primeinator 2009-06-07 01:04

[QUOTE]332,192,831 Feb 12, 2011 [/QUOTE]

Not a very conservative guess :smile:

Uncwilly 2009-06-07 02:05

[QUOTE=davieddy;176276]Thought you had already posted a poll on this topic.[/QUOTE]Not for M48.

davieddy 2009-06-07 09:58

[quote=Uncwilly;176287]Not for M48.[/quote]
I was referring to a 100M digit prime.
(I voted for after 2025)

Re M48, the "expected" exponent is ~60,000,000
On the old primenet I used to check on the number of LL tests
completed per hour. It was ~10 and [b]falling[/b].
Can someone tip me on the simplest way of monitoring this
on the new version?

David

ATH 2009-06-07 11:03

49.9M Mar 2010

Uncwilly 2009-06-07 14:01

[QUOTE=davieddy;176327]On the old primenet I used to check on the number of LL tests completed per hour.
...
Can someone tip me on the simplest way of monitoring this
on the new version?[/QUOTE]I would say, start with this page: [url]http://v5www.mersenne.org/report_recent_cleared/[/url]
Then do your sums.

davieddy 2009-06-07 18:42

[quote=Uncwilly;176349]I would say, start with this page: [URL]http://v5www.mersenne.org/report_recent_cleared/[/URL]
Then do your sums.[/quote]
Well if that's the simplest way I'll give up.
Off for some beer before the shop shuts.


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